
Newcastle seek their first home win of the season when they welcome Bournemouth to St James' Park for Saturday's lunchtime Premier League clash.
Newcastle vs BournemouthSee All Odds
It's early days for both head coaches on Tyneside and the south coast, but the early signs point to two sides settling into life under new leadership reasonably well. Matthias Jaissle's Newcastle drew their opener at home to Liverpool before beating West Brom in the EFL Cup and following up with a 2-0 win at Tottenham, a result in which Wissa scored his first goal of the Jaissle era.
Marco Rose's Bournemouth have had a slightly bumpier start. The Cherries saw their club-record 18-game unbeaten run ended in a 2-1 defeat at Manchester City on the opening weekend, then let a lead slip late on against Everton, with Alex Scott's 41st-minute strike undone by a stoppage-time equaliser from James Tarkowski at the Vitality Stadium.
Wissa has stepped into the central striker role and appears to be thriving in it, with Jaissle deploying him in a hybrid role that has him dropping into midfield zones to overload opposition double pivots. It's a system that played a part in the win over Spurs, and one that should cause a Bournemouth midfield light on natural ball-winners plenty of problems.
Who is the Betting Favourite in Newcaslte vs Bournemouth?
Newcastle are the betting favourites to win at St James' Park, priced around 11/10 in the match-winner market. The draw is available at 13/5, while Bournemouth are out at 23/10 despite their strong start to the season.
Newcastle are the clear favourites to win. Based on current market odds, their implied win probability sits around 46%, with Bournemouth roughly 30% and the draw about 28%.
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Best Bet
Best Bet: Yoane Wissa – Anytime Goalscorer
Stake: 1pt
Odds: 9/5 (Coral)
Wissa has an outstanding record against this exact opponent, with 4 goals and an assist in his last 6 appearances against the Cherries. He's already shown signs of finding his feet under Jaissle, scoring his first goal of the season against Spurs having also picked up an assist in the opening-day draw with Liverpool.
He's averaging 3.0 shots per game so far this campaign, and while he's missed 2 big chances in the process, a touch more composure in front of goal should see those numbers translate into a return here. The interesting wrinkle is exactly how Jaissle is using him: rather than a fixed focal point, Wissa has been asked to drop into deeper midfield zones to overload the opposition's double pivot, with the wide players tucking inside and Joe Willock pushing on to occupy the space he vacates. Against Spurs that saw Newcastle create a numbers advantage through the middle, and a Bournemouth midfield that already looked short of legs against Everton could be similarly exposed.
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Bet Builder Tip
Our Bet Builder Tip for Newcastle vs Bournemouth includes the following legs:
- Yes - Both Teams To Score
- Yoane Wissa - Anytime Goalscorer
- Lewis Hall Over 2.5 - Tackles
- Marcus Tavernier Over 1.5 - Shots
Best odds of 15/2 available with bet365 at the time of writing.
Yes, Both Teams To Score
This leg has landed in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides, and both defences look there for the taking early this season. Newcastle haven't kept a clean sheet in either of their two home games this term, including their EFL Cup tie against West Brom, while Bournemouth are yet to keep a clean sheet in either of their two league outings either. With two sets of new-look defences still bedding in, goals at both ends look the way to go.
Yoane Wissa – Anytime Goalscorer
Wissa has scored in 3 of his last 3 appearances against Bournemouth specifically, continuing that excellent record of 4 goals and an assist in 6 games against this opposition. With Jaissle building the attack around him and Bournemouth's defence already shipping goals at both ends of the pitch this season, there's every reason to expect that record to extend further.
Lewis Hall – Over 2.5 Tackles
Hall has cleared this mark in 3 of his last 5 games against Bournemouth and has been a genuine tackling machine of late, racking up 2, 2, 5, 1 and 2 tackles across his last five outings. Only four players in the Premier League have made more tackles than him so far this season. With Bournemouth likely to push men forward down Newcastle's left in search of a way back into the game, Hall should be kept busy defensively.
Marcus Tavernier – Over 1.5 Shots
Tavernier has cleared this line in 5 of his last 5 appearances against Newcastle, and his underlying shot numbers back up that record, with counts of 2, 2, 3, 0 and 3 across his last five games in all competitions. Newcastle allowed 7% more shots than the league average last season, and with Tavernier already looking sharp under Rose, having scored against Manchester City on the opening day, he should get the sight of goal he needs to clear this leg again.
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Match Prediction
Both sides arrive with defensive question marks, and neither has convinced defensively in the opening two rounds. Newcastle's home advantage and the early promise Wissa has shown as the focal point of Jaissle's attack should be enough to nose them over the line, but Rose's Bournemouth have shown they can trouble anyone on their day, and a repeat of the leaky periods both sides have had already this season points to goals throughout.
Prediction: Newcastle 2-1 Bournemouth
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Predicted Lineups
Newcastle are expected to stick with the majority of the XI that impressed in last weekend's 2-0 victory at Tottenham, with new signing Matias Fernandez-Pardo likely to begin on the bench as Matthias Jaissle eases him into Premier League action. Dan Burn, Joelinton, William Osula and Tino Livramento remain unavailable, while Nico Gonzalez is expected to retain his place after an impressive debut at Spurs.
Newcastle United (4-3-3): Hornicek; Dedic, Thiaw, Botman, Hall; Willock, Gonzalez, Miley; Elanga, Wissa, Barnes
Bournemouth are also expected to make minimal changes, with Marco Rose potentially sticking with the side that drew 1-1 with Everton. Lewis Cook and Alex Scott are favoured in midfield, while Rayan, Justin Kluivert and Marcus Tavernier should continue behind Evanilson. Eli Junior Kroupi, Amine Adli, Veljko Milosavljevic and Julian Araujo remain sidelined.
Bournemouth (4-2-3-1): Petrovic; Smith, Hill, Antonio Silva, Truffert; Cook, Scott; Rayan, Kluivert, Tavernier; Evanilson
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Player Prop Bet
Best Bet: Alex Scott – Over 2.5 Tackles
Best odds: 13/10 (BetMGM UK)
Stake: 1pt
Scott has already shown his quality going forward this season with his goal against Everton, but it's his defensive workrate that stands out here. He cleared this exact leg against Newcastle away from home last season, and he's averaging 2.78 tackles per 90 minutes across his last four Premier League appearances.
He's cleared this mark in both of Bournemouth's league games so far this season, and with Newcastle having allowed nearly 2% more tackles than the league average last season, there should be enough defensive duty on offer at St James' Park for Scott to do it again.








