Read our Alaves vs Atletico Madrid prediction with top betting tips, odds, and probable lineups ahead of this Spanish Primera Division encounter.
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Match Summary
Competition | Spanish Primera Division (La Liga) |
|---|---|
Match Date | Saturday 10 October 2026 |
Match Time | 15:15 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Vitoria-Gasteiz, Mendizorroza |
Sixth hosts second at Mendizorroza as Alaves vs Atletico Madrid brings La Liga back after the international break, and the visitors arrive looking every inch genuine contenders.
Alaves were unbeaten through their opening four outings, but the wheels have wobbled since. A run without a win in their last three has taken the shine off a bright start.
Atletico Madrid sit second in the table, having won their last 3 matches in La Liga, and the international break has handed them a fully fit squad. Ominous stuff for the hosts.
Atletico own this fixture. They are undefeated in 18 of their last 20 matches against Deportivo Alaves in all competitions, so the hosts need something out of the ordinary.
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Form
Alaves have cooled after a bright start, going winless in their last three La Liga outings. The last of those was a stubborn goalless draw away at Athletic Club, which at least shows the back line can dig in. Lucas Boyé remains the main outlet up top and is never shy of pulling the trigger.
Atletico Madrid are flying, with three straight La Liga wins capped by beating Real Madrid before the break. They sit second in the table, with only Barcelona above them. Goals are flowing from all over the pitch, and Álex Baena is a regular threat too, getting at least one shot away on target in four of his past five league appearances.
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Alaves: M. Rodríguez (Injured/out), F. Garcés (Injured/out), V. Koski (Injured/out)
Atletico Madrid: No reported absences, fully fit squad
Alaves
Alaves are without Mikel Rodríguez and Facundo Garcés, neither of whom returns until late in the season, and Ville Koski has joined them on the sidelines until early November. The spine stays familiar, with Antonio Blanco and Pablo Ibáñez in the engine room behind Lucas Boyé.
Atletico Madrid
The international break came at the perfect time for Atletico, who have a fully fit squad to choose from. The Alaves vs Atletico Madrid lineups point to the visitors at full strength, with Johnny Cardoso and Llorente screening a back four in front of Oblak.
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Predicted Lineup
Alaves
Formation: 3-5-2 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: A. Sivera; J. Otto, N. Valentini, N. Tenaglia; A. Rebbach, A. Blanco, D. Suárez, P. Ibáñez, Á. Pérez; L. Boyé, T. Martínez
Atletico Madrid
Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: J. Oblak; M. Pubill, D. Hancko, C. Romero, A. Grimaldo; J. Cardoso, M. Llorente; G. Simeone, L. Kang-In, Á. Baena; A. Lookman
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Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Key Stats & Match Facts
Atletico Madrid have scored at least 2 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches in La Liga.
In the previous meetings between the sides, Atletico Madrid have won three, Alaves one, and two have been drawn.
Atletico Madrid have had 6+ shots on target in 3 out of 4 matches vs Deportivo Alaves in La Liga.
Deportivo Alaves have received 2+ cards in 5 of their last 6 matches vs Atletico Madrid in La Liga.
Alaves go into the fixture sixth in the table, with Atletico Madrid second.
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Alaves 1-2 Atletico Madrid. Atletico are the 5/6 (AK Bets) favourites and the better side on current form, but Alaves carry enough in attack to land a blow at Mendizorroza. Our Alaves vs Atletico Madrid prediction is an away win in an open game rather than a cagey one.
Best Bets
Over 2.5 in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Atletico have gone over 2.5 goals in each of their last 6 LaLiga games. Of our Alaves vs Atletico Madrid best bets, this is the one built on Atletico's attack, which has managed 2+ goals in 3 of their last 3 matches in La Liga. Projections land the total above three goals, and a fully fit squad leaves the visitors with no excuses in front of goal.
Yes in the Both Teams To Score market. Alaves are projected to find the net at home against a high-scoring Atletico side. The projections put both teams scoring at roughly 60%, and the 1-2 forecast fits that neatly. Alaves like to cross early and shoot from range, which gives them a direct route to goal even against a side who will see most of the ball.
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Bet Builder
Our Alaves vs Atletico Madrid bet builder tips combine a Jonathan David goal, a Johnny Cardoso card and a busy afternoon for Lucas Boyé, paying 25/1 with Bet365.
Jonathan David to score anytime. He has found the net in each of his last three outings in La Liga, and that sort of finishing form earns a place in any builder.
Johnny Cardoso to be shown a card. The Atletico midfielder has picked up a booking in every meeting with Deportivo Alaves across his last three appearances in La Liga, and this fixture rarely stays polite.
Lucas Boyé over 2.5 shots. The Alaves striker has fired 3 or more efforts in four of his previous five La Liga outings, and the hosts love a pop from distance.
Lucas Boyé over 1.5 fouls. He has given away at least two fouls in every one of his last five La Liga games, and he will spend the afternoon scrapping with Atletico's centre-backs.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Talking Points
Quique Sánchez Flores knows the opposition well, having managed Atletico Madrid and won the Europa League during his spell there, and his message this week was blunt: to be special, Alaves must be exemplary. Discipline will be the test, given there have been 5+ cards in 5 of the last 6 meetings between the sides in La Liga. At the other end, Diego Simeone says Julián Álvarez gives his attack a different dimension, which is hardly what a stubborn home defence wants to hear with Atletico already at full strength. The Alaves vs Atletico Madrid betting odds tell the same story, with the hosts out at 4/1 (AK Bets) for a home win.
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Predictions FAQs
When is the Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Spanish Primera Division game?
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 October 2026, kicking off at 15:15 UK time.
Where is Alaves vs Atletico Madrid being played?
The match is being played at Mendizorroza in Vitoria-Gasteiz.
What competition is Alaves vs Atletico Madrid in?
The fixture is being played in the Spanish Primera Division.
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