Read our Greece vs Germany prediction with probable lineups, key betting tips, and the latest odds ahead of this UEFA Nations League clash. Who will win?
Greece vs Germany Match Summary
Competition | UEFA Nations League |
|---|---|
Match Date | Sunday 4 October 2026 |
Match Time | 19:45 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Toumba Stadium |
Greece vs Germany at Toumba Stadium in Thessaloniki pits the UEFA Nations League table-toppers against a German side still being rebuilt, yet the visitors remain favourites.
Ivan Jovanovic's Greece sit top of the table on seven points. Throwing away a two-goal half-time lead against the Netherlands on Thursday will still sting, mind.
Germany finally won under Jürgen Klopp by beating Serbia at home, ending a four-match winless run. With Musiala, Havertz and Goretzka all injured, this is still a side in transition.
History favours the visitors, who have won four of the previous meetings between these sides to Greece's one. Victory here would tighten the hosts' grip on top spot.
Greece vs Germany Form
Greece lead the table, and they should have more than seven points. They were cruising against the Netherlands on Thursday before conceding twice after the break, a messy end to what should have been a third straight Nations League win. Across their last 10 matches against all opponents, they have won four. Pavlidis remains the focal point up front.
Germany sit third in the table. The win over Serbia was the first under Klopp and ended a four-match winless run, so this is a team finding its feet rather than one in full flow. Wirtz is the man everything runs through, and with Musiala and Havertz sidelined, his creativity matters more than ever.
Greece vs Germany Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Greece: S. Kontouris (Injured/out), C. Tzolis (Injured/out)
Germany: L. Goretzka (Injured/out), K. Havertz (Injured/out), J. Musiala (Injured/out), N. Schlotterbeck (Injured/out)
Greece
Christos Tzolis picked up a hamstring injury against the Netherlands and misses out. Giorgos Masouras is expected to replace him after impressing off the bench last time out, and Jovanovic is not expected to make any further changes to his probable XI. Kontouris is also sidelined.
Germany
The Greece vs Germany lineups carry a distinctly experimental look on the visiting side. Klopp is still handing out auditions, so Said El Mala and Finn Jeltsch could get opportunities, with Mika Baur also in contention for a start. Goretzka, Havertz, Musiala and Schlotterbeck are all injured.
Greece vs Germany Predicted Lineup
Greece
Formation: 4-4-2 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: K. Tzolakis; M. Saliakas, K. Mavropanos, P. Retsos, K. Tsimikas; K. Karetsas, D. Kourbelis, T. Androutsos, G. Masouras; F. Ioannidis, V. Pavlidis
Germany
Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: A. Nübel; P. Treu, M. Thiaw, F. Jeltsch, M. Mittelstädt; A. Pavlovic, M. Baur; S. Gnabry, F. Wirtz, S. El Mala; J. Burkardt
Check out all the latest oddschecker Free Bets & Sign-Up Offers for Greece vs Germany.
Greece vs Germany Key Stats & Match Facts
Greece sit top of the four-team table, while Germany are third.
In previous meetings, Greece have won one, drawn one and lost four against Germany.
Greece have won 4 of their last 10 matches against all opponents.
Germany are without four injured players: Goretzka, Havertz, Musiala and Schlotterbeck.
Greece are without the injured Tzolis and Kontouris.
Greece vs Germany Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Greece 1-2 Germany. The hosts have earned their place at the top of the table, but Wirtz gives Germany a level of craft that can edge a messy contest. In the Greece vs Germany betting odds, the visitors are 5/6 with AK Bets, while Greece are 10/3 with 10Bet.
Best Bets
Back Yes in the Penalty In Match market. Stakes don't come much higher than first against third, and this has the makings of a physical, stubborn scrap. Plenty of bodies in the box and tired legs late on make a spot-kick well worth backing among our Greece vs Germany best bets.
Back Greece -1 in the Asian Handicap market. This is the bolder angle. Greece are top of the table for a reason, and with Musiala, Havertz and Goretzka all missing, the in-form hosts could punish a depleted German side.
Greece vs Germany Bet Builder
Our Greece vs Germany bet builder tips combine Germany to win, both teams to score and Panagiotis Retsos to be shown a card, priced at 35/4 with Bet365.
Germany to win. Even without Musiala and Havertz, Wirtz gives them the edge in quality, and it fits our 2-1 call for the visitors.
Both teams to score. Greece scored and conceded freely against the Netherlands, and a German back line featuring Jeltsch, not a regular starter, hands the hosts openings. It is 8/13 with QuinnBet alone.
Panagiotis Retsos to be shown a card. The centre-back faces a demanding evening against Germany's high-tempo attackers, and defenders chasing quick feet tend to end up in the book.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 35/4 and is as short as 59/10 elsewhere.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Bet Builder with Oddschecker's Exclusive Bet Builder Comparison Tool.
Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Greece vs Germany Talking Points
Klopp's experiment is the real story. He used an expanded pool of 44 players across his first autumn Nations League window, and with El Mala, Jeltsch and Baur all pushing for starts, this is another audition night. It is also Germany's first Nations League fixture at Toumba Stadium, and Greece will want to make the most of a crowd that smells blood.
Greece vs Germany Predictions FAQs
When is the Greece vs Germany UEFA Nations League game?
The match kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 19:45 UK time.
Where is Greece vs Germany being played?
The match is being played at Toumba Stadium.
What competition is Greece vs Germany in?
Greece vs Germany is taking place in the UEFA Nations League.
Disclaimer
Important information: This article may contain links to betting offers or promotions for Greece vs Germany that were available at the time of publication. These offers may have since expired, changed, or no longer be available.
Oddschecker offers are selected from operators that our football experts work with regularly and have first-hand experience of. If you open an account via one of these links, Oddschecker may earn commission. This helps support our coverage and allows us to continue producing expert analysis and football content across UEFA Nations League.
Please gamble responsibly. 18+.
