France v Luxembourg- Sunday 19:45
France face the easiest fixture in qualification as they host a Luxembourg side that we have ranked 151st in the world. The Luxembourgers were thumped 5-0 in the Netherlands in their last road game, the third time they’ve conceded at least four times in their last six trips to sides ranked inside the world’s top-20 (we have France 3rd in the world). The French put five past Paraguay in a recent friendly victory and with the likes of Griezmann, Mbappe and Lacazette in their squad, they could easily put up a big number here and those players will no doubt regard this as an excellent opportunity to boost their international scoring records. We’re backing the Euro 2016 finalists to put on a real show for the Stadium Municipal faithful and score Over 4.5 Goals, whilst they’re of interest to cover the -3 handicap.
Greece v Belgium- Sunday 19:45, Sky Sports Football
Belgium are clear at the top of Group H but Greece are still very much in with a chance of qualification as they battle it out with Bosnia and Herzegovina for the runners up spot. Greece managed a 1-1 draw in Belgium and will be hoping for another positive result here. They’ve drawn five of six unbeaten games at home to sides ranked in the world’s top-25 since 2008 (we have Belgium ranked 12th) in games that have tended to be very tight as all of these saw fewer than three goals. Belgium have won four of six unbeaten road games but three of those were against sides we have outside the top 100 in our rankings, well below Greece, and they’ll have a tough job of breaking this stubborn side down as they’re very well-organised under Michael Skibbe. We’re backing Under 2.5 Goals while the draw is of interest. .
Hungary v Portugal- Sunday 19:45, ITV4
Hungary put up a decent showing at the Euros as they made it out of their group after managing a 3-3 draw with eventual winners Portugal themselves, but they’re unlikely to feature at the World Cup with the Portuguese and Swiss clear at the top of Group B. Hungary are generally a hard side to beat on their own turf but they’re just W1-D1-L4 when hosting top-20 ranked sides since 2010 and they’re struggling for goals at the moment having failed to net in four games heading to their clash with Latvia. They come up against a Portugal side who are excellent defensively and have won without conceding in their last three away games. We think they can do the same here and are backing the European champions to win to nil at … and keep the pressure on Switzerland at the top of Group B.