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Thursday's World Cup Tips

Israel Reyes (Mexico) - Over 0.5 Shots - 1pt @ 11/10
Brian Gutierrez (Mexico) - To Score/Assist - 0.75pts @ 7/4
Ladislav Krejci (Czechia) - To Be Shown a Card - 0.75pts @ 11/4

Israel Reyes (Mexico) - Over 0.5 Shots

Advised Stake: 1pt
Best odds: 11/10 with Coral/Ladbrokes. Take no lower than 10/11.

Israel Reyes is an interesting player-shot angle if he gets the nod at right-back for Mexico, with this selection landing in 4/5 matches when he has started in that position for the national team.

Mexico should be expected to take the initiative against South Africa in the World Cup opener, and that could give their full-backs licence to step high and support attacks. Reyes does not need huge volume here, with just one speculative effort, set-piece second ball or late-arriving shot enough to land the bet.

At odds-against, Over 0.5 Shots looks a fair price given the positional trend and Mexico’s expected territorial advantage.

Israel Reyes Over 0.5
Mexico v South Africa [Player Shots]
1pt
11/10

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Mexico to win or draw vs South Africa - 60/1
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Brian Gutiérrez (Mexico) - To Score or Assist

Advised Stake: 0.75pts
Best odds: 7/4 with BetMGM / Virgin Bet. Take no lower than 13/10.

Brian Gutiérrez looks a lively price to register a goal contribution after making a clear case for a starting role during Mexico’s World Cup warm-up fixtures. He scored in the 2-0 win over Ghana before assisting against Serbia. 

That recent output is particularly encouraging in a game where Mexico are expected to dominate possession and spend long spells in South Africa’s half. With Gutiérrez likely to operate in an advanced creative role, 7/4 looks worth taking for a player arriving at the tournament with confidence and end-product.

Brian Gutierrez
Mexico v South Africa [To Score Or Assist]
0.75pts
9/5

Ladislav Krejčí (Czechia) - To Be Shown A Card

Advised Stake: 0.75pts
Best odds: 11/4 with Sky Bet. Take no lower than 9/4.

Ladislav Krejčí looks overpriced in the card market given both his own disciplinary profile and the likely nature of Czechia’s opener against South Korea. The centre-back has been booked in 2/5 previous competitive appearances for Czechia, while he also picked up a card in 1/3 group-stage matches at Euro 2024.

South Korea’s pace and direct running in transition could naturally expose Czechia’s defenders to tactical fouls, particularly if Krejčí is dragged into wide areas or forced to defend space behind the back line.

There is also a strong match-up angle here, with at least one centre-half either booked or committing 2+ fouls in 4/5 previous South Korea matches, making 11/4 a tempting price for Krejčí to go into the referee’s notebook.

Ladislav Krejci
South Korea v Czech Republic [To Be Shown A Card]
0.75pts
11/4