EV Eagle picks out four top betting picks for Sunday's World Cup action.
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When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.
Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.
Netherlands vs Japan
Tip 1: Cody Gakpo - To Score Or Assist - 1pt
Best odds of 6/5 at Paddy Power while publishing.
AI Probability 51% | Implied Probability 45% | EV 11%
Cody Gakpo has registered a goal contribution in four of his last five appearances for the Netherlands, and his club form suggests he is well placed to continue that run. The Liverpool forward finished the 2025/26 Premier League season with seven goals and five assists, while also contributing two goals and two assists in the Champions League.
Comfortable playing across the front line, Gakpo regularly finds himself involved in Netherlands' best attacking moves and remains of their most reliable sources of goals and assists.
Germany vs Curacao
Tip 2: David Raum - To Score Or Assist - 1pt
Best odds of 7/4 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
AI Probability 42% | Implied Probability 36% | EV 15%
David Raum has quietly become one of Germany's most productive creators from left-back. The RB Leipzig captain is a constant attacking outlet, delivering dangerous crosses and set-piece quality from wide areas. He has scored or assisted in three of Germany's
His ability to rack up assists makes him an attractive pick whenever Germany are expected to dominate possession. Leipzig's willingness to build attacks through Raum has turned him into one of the Bundesliga's most influential attacking full-backs in recent seasons.
With Germany likely to spend long spells in the opposition half, Raum has every chance of adding another goal contribution.
Bally Bet
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador
Tip 3: Amad Diallo - To Score Or Assist - 1pt
Best odds of 13/5 at Paddy Power while publishing.
AI Probability 30% | Implied Probability 27% | EV 8%
Amad Diallo has produced a goal contribution in three of his last five matches for Ivory Coast and remains one of their most dangerous attacking players. While his Premier League numbers were modest, registering five goal contributions for Manchester United, his international performances have often been more explosive.
Amad also impressed at the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations, recording three goals and an assist in four starts, showcasing the direct running and creativity that make him such a threat in transition.
Sweden vs Tunisia
TIP 4: Viktor Gyokeres - Anytime Goalscorer
Best odds of 31/20 at BetVictor while publishing.
AI Probability 43% | Implied Probability 39% | EV 10%
Viktor Gyökeres continues to justify his reputation as one of Europe’s most reliable finishers, with a return of 5 goals in his last 9 appearances for Sweden. Fresh off a standout season with Arsenal, the Swedish striker now turns his attention to the biggest stage in world football.
He netted 21 times in all competitions for Arsenal this season, underlining his consistency at elite level. Against a physically strong Tunisia side, chances may be harder to come by, but Gyökeres’ movement and clinical edge make him the kind of forward who only needs a few opportunities to make the difference. If Sweden are to start strongly, he remains their most likely source of goals.
