How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Spain vs Cape Verde

TIP 1: Dani Olmo - Anytime Goalscorer - 1pt

Best odds of 7/4 at BetMGM UK while publishing.

AI Probability 50% | Implied Probability 36% | EV 37%

Dani Olmo registered an assist in Spain's 1-1 draw with Iraq and could be set for an even more influential role in their World Cup opener. With Lamine Yamal not expected to play a full part in the opening fixture, much of Spain's creative burden is likely to fall on Olmo's shoulders. The RB Leipzig playmaker has a proven record of delivering in major tournaments and should find opportunities to contribute against a Cape Verde side making its World Cup debut.

Belgium vs Egypt

TIP 2: Jeremy Doku - To Score Or Assist - 1pt

Best odds of 6/5 at BetVictor while publishing.

AI Probability 47% | Implied Probability 45% | EV 4%

Jeremy Doku has recorded three assists in his last four international appearances and remains one of Belgium's most dangerous attacking weapons. The Manchester City winger was outstanding during qualifying, registering five goals and two assists in eight World Cup qualifiers, and continues to develop into a key figure for his national team. With Belgium gradually transitioning away from the generation of Kevin De Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku, Doku has a golden opportunity to establish himself as the team's main attacking threat on the biggest stage.

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TIP 3: Kevin De Bruyne - Anytime Goalscorer - 1pt

Best odds of 11/4 at bet365 while publishing.

AI Probability 29% | Implied Probability 27% | EV 10%

Kevin De Bruyne has scored in four of Belgium's last five competitive international matches, underlining his continued importance despite entering the latter stages of his career. The midfielder remains Belgium's chief creative force, but his goal threat is often overlooked given the quality of his passing. De Bruyne is also a leading candidate for penalty duties, adding another route to goal and strengthening his appeal in the goalscorer markets.

Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay

TIP 4: Federico Vinas - To Score Or Assist - 1pt

Best odds of 5/4 at BetMGM UK while publishing.

AI Probability 47% | Implied Probability 44% | EV 6%

Federico Viñas enjoyed an impressive domestic campaign, scoring nine goals and providing one assist for Real Oviedo in La Liga. The Uruguayan now has the chance to carry that form onto the international stage as Uruguay begin their World Cup campaign against Saudi Arabia. Facing one of the lower-ranked sides in the group, Viñas should see opportunities to influence the game in the final third and looks well placed to contribute either a goal or an assist as La Celeste target a winning start.