How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Wednesday's Betting Tips:

Bruno Fernandes - To Score Or Assist vs DR Congo - 17/20 (2pt) Virgin Bet
Declan Rice - To Score Or Assist vs Croatia - 11/4  (1pt) Paddy Power
Harry Kane - Anytime Goalscorer vs Croatia - 11/8 (1pt) BetMGM UK
Antoine Semenyo - To Score Or Assist vs Panama - 6/4 (1pt) 

TIP 1: Bruno Fernandes - To Score Or Assist - 2pt

Best odds of 17/20 at Virgin Bet while publishing.

AI Probability 43% | Implied Probability 40% | EV 7%

Bruno Fernandes arrives in excellent form for Portugal, having registered four goals and two assists in his last five international appearances. The Manchester United midfielder remains the creative focal point of Roberto Martínez's side, regularly creating chances while also carrying a significant goal threat himself. Whether from open play, set pieces or late runs into the box, Fernandes is involved in much of Portugal's attacking play and looks well placed to deliver another goal contribution.

TIP 2: Declan Rice - To Score Or Assist - 1pt

Best odds of 11/4 at Paddy Power while publishing.

AI Probability 31% | Implied Probability 27% | EV 15%

Declan Rice has become increasingly influential in the final third and is no longer simply a defensive midfielder. The Arsenal star has contributed two goals and two assists in his last seven appearances for England, highlighting his growing attacking output. Rice's set-piece delivery, ability to break into the box and willingness to shoot from distance all give him multiple routes to a goal contribution.

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TIP 3: Harry Kane - Anytime Goalscorer - 1pt

Best odds of 11/8 at BetMGM UK while publishing.

AI Probability 47% | Implied Probability 43% | EV 8%

Harry Kane remains England's talisman and one of the most reliable goalscorers in international football. The Bayern Munich striker has scored an astonishing 79 goals for England, cementing his place as the nation's all-time leading scorer. Kane's record in major tournaments is equally impressive, with the England captain consistently delivering on the biggest stage. Add in his penalty-taking duties and his ability to convert even half-chances, and he looks a strong candidate to get on the scoresheet once again.

TIP 4: Antoine Semenyo - To Score Or Assist -  1pt

Best odds of 6/4 at Paddy Power while publishing.

AI Probability 43% | Implied Probability 40% | EV 7%

Antoine Semenyo has developed into one of Ghana's most dangerous attacking outlets, combining pace, power and direct running to cause problems for defenders. The Man City forward enjoyed an excellent club campaign and is often at the centre of Ghana's best attacking moves. Whether creating chances for teammates or finishing opportunities himself, Semenyo has the quality and confidence to register a goal contribution.