How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

TIP 1: Youri Tielemans – To Score Or Assist – 1pt

Best odds of 23/10 at BetMGM UK while publishing.

Youri Tielemans has registered a goal contribution in three of his last four appearances for Belgium and continues to play an influential role in the final third. With Kevin De Bruyne often attracting the majority of defensive attention, Tielemans regularly finds space to arrive late into attacking positions. His ability to both create and finish chances makes him an appealing score-or-assist selection.

Youri Tielemans
Belgium v Iran [To Score Or Assist]
23/10

TIP 2: Mehdi Taremi – Over 1.5 Shots – 1pt

Best odds of 23/20 at SpreadEx while publishing.

Mehdi Taremi has scored four goals in his last six matches and remains Iran's most reliable attacking outlet. The Inter striker is the focal point of almost every dangerous move and is rarely shy about shooting when opportunities arise. Belgium showed defensive vulnerabilities in their opening fixture, and if Iran can exploit space on the counter-attack, Taremi should have enough chances to clear this line.

Mehdi Taremi Over 1.5
Belgium v Iran [Player Shots]
11/10

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TIP 3: Guillermo Varela – Over 0.5 Shots – 1pt

Best odds of 23/20 at BoyleSports while publishing.

Guillermo Varela has landed this selection in two of his last three appearances for Uruguay, including their World Cup opener against Saudi Arabia. Operating from full-back, he is encouraged to support attacks and make overlapping runs into advanced areas. Against a Cape Verde side likely to defend deep, Varela should have opportunities to get forward and register at least one effort on goal.

Guillermo Varela Over 0.5
Uruguay v Cape Verde [Player Shots]
23/20

TIP 4: Marc Cucurella – Over 0.5 Shots – 1pt

Best odds of 10/11 at BetMGM UK while publishing.

Marc Cucurella recorded two shots in Spain's opening match and should again enjoy plenty of attacking freedom. Spain are expected to dominate possession and spend long periods camped in the opposition half, allowing their full-backs to push high up the pitch. Given his advanced positioning and willingness to get involved in attacking moves, one shot looks well within reach.

 

Marc Cucurella Over 0.5
Spain v Saudi Arabia [Player Shots]
8/11