France vs Sweden Betting Tips: Best Bets, Odds & Bet Builder Pick

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France and Sweden meet at New York/New Jersey Stadium tonight in a Round of 32 knockout tie, with Les Bleus looking to continue their perfect World Cup campaign. Didier Deschamps’ side won all three group matches, scoring 10 goals across games against Senegal, Iraq and Norway, and arrive as the tournament favourites.

Sweden, meanwhile, came through Group F as one of the best third-placed teams after an inconsistent but exciting group-stage campaign. Graham Potter’s side showed their attacking potential in a 5-1 win over Tunisia and also earned a crucial draw with Japan, but they now face their toughest test yet against a France team packed with pace, creativity and knockout-stage experience.

Check out our best bets for the match, featuring Kylian Mbappé to score two or more goals at 3/1, our 9/2 Bet Builder and France to score three or more goals at 1/1.

France vs Sweden Best Bet

Recommended Bet: Kylian Mbappé to score 2+ goals
Best Odds: 3/1 (betway)
Advised Stake: 1pt

Kylian Mbappé to score two or more goals is our strongest betting angle for France vs Sweden, with Les Bleus expected to create plenty of chances against a defence that has struggled badly for clean sheets.

Mbappé has scored three braces across his last six France appearances, with his recent international goal returns reading 0, 2, 2, 0, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0 and 0.

His shot-on-target numbers strengthen the case further. Mbappé’s recent France shots-on-target sequence reads 2, 3, 4, 0, 1, 4, 3, 3, 2, 3, 3, 3 and 4.

With Ousmane Dembélé, Michael Olise and potentially Desire Doue supplying pace and creativity around him, Mbappé should receive enough service in central and left-sided areas to test Sweden repeatedly. France have scored 10 goals in three matches at this tournament and are 3/10 to score at least twice again tonight.

Sweden have failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 matches, conceding two or more goals in nine of those games and three or more in four. They are also without Isak Hien, their strongest centre-half, which makes the task of containing Mbappé’s movement even harder.

If Potter’s side commit players forward or chase the game, France should find more space in transition, where Mbappé is at his most devastating.

At 3/1, the odds imply a 25% chance of Mbappé scoring twice. Given his recent brace record, France’s attacking form, Sweden’s defensive issues and the absence of Hien, the price looks strong enough to justify a 1pt stake.

Who is favourite to win France vs Sweden?

France are favourites at 1/4, implying an approximate 80% chance of victory. The draw is priced at 5/1, while Sweden are 10/1 outsiders.

The market reflects France’s perfect group-stage record, attacking depth and superior knockout pedigree. Sweden have enough forward quality to cause problems through Isak, Gyökeres and Anthony Elanga, but they may need to produce their best performance of the tournament to upset Deschamps’ side.

France vs Sweden Bet Builder Tip

Our Bet Builder Tip for France vs Sweden is:

• Kylian Mbappé to have 2+ shots on target
• Yasin Ayari to win 2+ fouls
• Viktor Gyökeres to win 2+ fouls

Leg 1: Kylian Mbappé to have 2+ shots on target

Mbappé to register at least two shots on target is the France-focused leg in this Bet Builder, with Les Bleus expected to create sustained pressure against a Sweden defence missing Hien.

Mbappé’s recent France shots-on-target record reads 2, 3, 4, 0, 1, 4, 3, 3, 2, 3, 3, 3 and 4, reaching this line in 11 of those 13 appearances.

Sweden have conceded shots-on-target totals of 3, 7, 7, 7, 4, 7, 8 and 6 against higher-ranked FIFA opposition, suggesting France should be able to generate a high volume of accurate efforts. With Dembélé, Olise and Doue providing service around him, Mbappé should get enough chances to test the goalkeeper more than once.

Leg 2: Yasin Ayari to win 2+ fouls

Ayari to win at least two fouls targets Sweden’s midfield progression route. This line has landed in three of his previous four Sweden matches, and he should be important whenever Sweden try to play through France’s pressure rather than go direct.

France’s midfield should include two of Aurélien Tchouaméni, Adrien Rabiot and Manu Koné, all of whom are capable of committing tactical fouls when opponents carry the ball through central areas. Tchouaméni’s recent foul totals include 3, 2, 2 and 4, Rabiot has committed two or more in five of his last 10, while Koné has reached that mark in five of his last 10.

If Sweden sit deep and look to spring forward, Ayari’s ability to receive, turn and move the ball into Isak or Gyökeres could force France into repeated midfield challenges.

Leg 3: Viktor Gyökeres to win 2+ fouls

Gyökeres to win at least two fouls completes the Bet Builder by targeting Sweden’s main physical outlet in attack. His recent fouls-won record reads 2, 1, 0, 4, 2, 1, 1, 3, 0, 1, 5, 2 and 3, showing that he regularly draws contact when asked to hold the ball up, run the channels or carry Sweden up the pitch.

Stopping Gyökeres is central to preventing Sweden’s counterattack from becoming dangerous. He is likely to spend much of the game competing against William Saliba and Dayot Upamecano, and even if France dominate possession, Sweden should still look for him early whenever they regain the ball.

At the time of writing, the Bet Builder pays a best price of 9/2 with bet365. Given Mbappé’s shot-on-target consistency and the clear foul-winning roles for Ayari and Gyökeres, the price looks worth a 1pt stake, provided all three players start.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Bet Builder with Oddschecker’s Bet Builder Comparison Tool.

France vs Sweden Side Market Bet

Recommended Bet: France to score 3+ goals
Best Odds: 1/1 (Various)
Advised Stake: 1pt

France to score three or more goals is an appealing side-market angle for their Round of 32 tie against Sweden, with Les Bleus arriving in ruthless attacking form.

Deschamps’ side have scored at least three goals in eight of their last 11 internationals. They have also scored 10 goals across their three group-stage matches.

The attacking structure is loaded with routes to goal. Mbappé is in excellent form, while Dembélé, Olise and Doue can all create chances from wide areas or attack space around the penalty box.

Sweden’s defensive profile strengthens the selection. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 matches, conceding two or more goals in nine of those games and three or more in two of their last six. The absence of Hien, their strongest centre-half, makes the task even harder against a France side packed with pace and movement.

At 1/1, the odds imply a 50% chance of France scoring at least three goals. Given their recent scoring record, Sweden’s long run without a clean sheet and Hien’s injury, the price looks fair enough to justify a 1pt stake.

France vs Sweden Predicted Lineups

France predicted XI:
Maignan; Koundé, Saliba, Upamecano, Hernández; Tchouaméni, Rabiot; Dembélé, Olise, Barcola; Mbappé.

Sweden predicted XI:
Widell Zetterström; Holm, Lindelöf, Starfelt, Augustinsson; Svanberg, Ayari, Cajuste; Elanga, Gyökeres, Isak.

France vs Sweden Match Prediction

France have looked one of the most dangerous attacking sides at the tournament, scoring 10 goals in the group stage and showing no sign of abandoning their aggressive approach. Deschamps’ side may give opponents chances, but their attacking depth means they can quickly turn territory into high-quality opportunities.

Sweden have enough quality in attack to make this uncomfortable, particularly through Isak and Gyökeres. However, the absence of Hien could make it harder to contain France’s pace and movement across the front line.

Potter’s side may need to be close to perfect to progress, especially if France score first and force Sweden to chase. Les Bleus should have too much attacking power, but Sweden are capable of making this more competitive than the market may suggest.

Score Prediction: France 3-1 Sweden