EV Eagle has selected four best bets for Tuesday's World Cup Round of 16 matches.
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TIP 1: Erling Haaland – Anytime Goalscorer - 1.5pt
Best odds of EVENS at AK Bets while publishing.
Odds Implied: 50% | AI Probability: 58% | Expected Value: 16%
Erling Haaland remains one of the most reliable goalscorers in international football and arrives in outstanding form. The Norway striker has found the net in 10 consecutive competitive appearances for his country, a remarkable run that underlines his consistency on the biggest stage.
He was also devastating during World Cup qualifying, scoring 16 goals in just eight matches, averaging two goals per game. Whether through his movement inside the box, aerial dominance or clinical finishing, Haaland rarely needs many chances to score. Against a France defence that will naturally push forward, the Manchester City forward should get opportunities to extend his incredible scoring streak.
TIP 2: Ousmane Dembélé – Over 1.5 Shots On Target - 1pt
Best odds of 23/20 at Virgin Bet while publishing.
Odds Implied: 46% | AI Probability: 55% | Expected Value: 10%
Ousmane Dembélé heads into this knockout tie brimming with confidence after producing a stunning hat-trick in France's previous outing. His shots-on-target numbers have been extremely consistent, recording 3, 2, 0, 2, 1 and 2 across his last six competitive appearances for France, clearing this line in four of those six matches.
Over his last 10 competitive internationals, Dembélé is averaging 1.5 shots on target per game, highlighting just how regularly he tests opposition goalkeepers. With his pace, direct dribbling and willingness to shoot whenever space opens up, another busy evening in front of goal looks likely.
TIP 3: Kylian Mbappé – Over 2.5 Shots On Target - 1pt
Best odds of 11/10 at William Hill while publishing.
Odds Implied: 47% | AI Probability: 51% | Expected Value: 10%
Kylian Mbappé continues to set the standard for attacking output at international level. He has cleared 2.5 shots on target in two of France's three World Cup matches, and was unfortunate not to land the bet against Norway after finishing with two efforts on target while also striking the woodwork. His longer-term numbers are even stronger.
Mbappé's shots-on-target totals across his last 10 competitive appearances for France read 2, 3, 4, 4, 3, 3, 2, 3, 3 and 3, giving him an outstanding average of 3.0 shots on target per 90 minutes. As France's focal point in attack and primary penalty taker, he should once again see plenty of opportunities to test the goalkeeper.
TIP 4: Mexico – Win Market - 1pt
Best odds of 5/4 at Unibet while publishing.
Odds Implied: 46% | AI Probability: 44% | Expected Value: 4%
Mexico enter the Round of 32 as one of the tournament's form teams, having won their last six matches while remaining unbeaten in their previous 10. Confidence is high throughout the squad, and they have looked organised defensively while carrying a consistent threat in attack. Ecuador will provide a stern examination after their impressive performances in the group stage, but their physically demanding clash with Germany is likely to have taken plenty out of them.
In contrast, Mexico were able to rotate key players during their final group game against the Czech Republic, leaving several important names fresher for this knockout encounter. With home support firmly behind them and momentum on their side, Mexico look well placed to edge what should be a tightly contested match.
