How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Johan Manzambi Over 0.5 Shots On Target vs Colombia

Advised Stake: 1pt
Best odds: 6/5 (Unibet) - 1/1 with bet365 advised (Super Sub & Extra-Time)

Johan Manzambi looks an appealing shots-on-target angle if he is passed fit to start against Colombia. The 20-year-old has been Switzerland’s breakout attacking player at this World Cup, producing three goals and two assists in four tournament appearances, while his wider shot profile is also strong.

He has registered at least one shot on target in 10 of his last 16 appearances for club and country, including four of his six Switzerland appearances.

Colombia have been excellent defensively, conceding only once so far, but that should make Manzambi even more central to Switzerland’s best attacking moments. Provided he starts, Over 0.5 Shots On Target looks a fair play for a player carrying clear confidence and final-third responsibility.

Johan Manzambi Over 0.5
Switzerland v Colombia [Player Shots On Target]
1pt
6/5

Breel Embolo To Score Or Assist vs Colombia

Advised Stake: 1pt
Best odds: 9/5 (Virgin Bet) - 13/8 with bet365 advised (Super Sub & Extra-Time)

Breel Embolo looks a strong goal-involvement option for Switzerland’s last-16 clash with Colombia. He has registered at least one goal or assist in 11 of his last 18 matches for club and country, while his tournament reliability is even more eye-catching, with a goal involvement in five consecutive major tournament appearances for Switzerland.

Embolo remains a focal point through the middle, with the ability to score himself or link play for runners such as Johan Manzambi and Dan Ndoye. In a tight knockout tie, the score or assist market gives him two routes to landing.

Breel Embolo
Switzerland v Colombia [To Score Or Assist]
1pt
9/5

OFFER WIDGET

Emam Ashour Over 1.5 Shots vs Argentina

Advised Stake: 1pt
Best odds: 6/4 (Ladbrokes / Coral)

Emam Ashour looks a strong Egypt shots angle for their last-16 clash with Argentina. The midfielder has registered 2+ shots in three of his four appearances at this World Cup, with the only miss coming in a game where he was substituted at half-time.

He has also scored in two of his four tournament appearances, so there is a clear willingness to get forward and take responsibility in the final third.

Argentina are strong favourites and should dominate possession, but that could leave Ashour as one of Egypt’s main runners when they break from midfield.

With Egypt likely to need moments of attacking quality to trouble the holders, Over 1.5 Shots looks a fair play.

Emam Ashour Over 1.5
Argentina v Egypt [Player Shots]
1pt
13/10

Enzo Fernandez Over 0.5 Shots On Target vs Egypt

Advised Stake: 1pt
Best odds: 23/20 (betway)

Enzo Fernandez looks a strong shots-on-target option for Argentina’s last-16 meeting with Egypt. The Chelsea midfielder has registered at least one shot on target in three of his last five competitive Argentina appearances, including two on target in the extra-time win over Cape Verde. His wider shooting profile is also eye-catching, with 44 shots on target across 64 appearances for club and country this season.

Egypt are likely to spend long spells defending deep, which should give Enzo opportunities to step onto second balls and shoot from the edge of the box. With Argentina expected to control territory, Over 0.5 Shots On Target looks a fair play for a midfielder who regularly tests the goalkeeper.

Enzo Fernandez Over 0.5
Argentina v Egypt [Player Shots On Target]
1pt
6/5