EV Eagle has selected four best bets as France take on Morocco in the first World Cup Quarter-Final match.
France v MoroccoSee All Odds
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Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest. EV Eagle has selected gour top betting angles for France vs Morocco.
TIP 1: Kylian Mbappé - Over 4.5 Player Shots - 1pt
21/20 at Unibet
Kylian Mbappé enters the World Cup Final operating at such a level of dominance that betting against his shot volume appears increasingly foolish. The Real Madrid superstar has exceeded 4.5 shots in 7 of his last 10 competitive appearances, demonstrating remarkable consistency in accumulating high-volume attempts regardless of opposition quality or tournament stage.
His shot progression across his last 12 competitive starts for France reads 5, 5, 4, 8, 4, 10, 10, 5, 4, 6, 5, 8, with a final appearance reading 6. The consistency is staggering. He has cleared the 4.5 shots line in the vast majority of these appearances, suggesting that this final represents another stage where his volume will exceed expectations.
What separates Mbappé is his relentless hunger for shooting opportunities. Whether arriving from wide positions, cutting inside onto his stronger foot, or arriving late into the box with intelligent movement, he consistently finds positions where he can attempt efforts. Morocco's defensive setup, whilst organised, will struggle to contain a player operating at such elite level. In a final where both teams will pursue aggressive attacking approaches, Mbappé should accumulate numerous shooting opportunities.
TIP 2: Michael Olise - Over 2.5 Player Shots - 1pt
59/50 at Virgin Bet
Michael Olise has emerged as France's standout attacking wide player, demonstrating the sort of creative brilliance and shot-taking propensity that makes him a constant threat to opposition defences. The RB Leipzig winger has exceeded 2.5 shots in 3 of his last 4 World Cup appearances, a remarkable consistency that suggests another high-volume performance in the final.
His shot progression across his last 12 competitive starts for France reads 0, 6, 3, 3, 2, 3, 1, 3, 2, 4, demonstrating a player who regularly gets into shooting positions and forces goalkeepers into action. His recent appearances have seen him consistently clear the 2.5 shots mark, suggesting he has found a rhythm in this tournament that allows him to get off efforts with regularity.
What makes Olise distinctive is his technical ability combined with his willingness to shoot from distance. He doesn't require conventional clear-cut chances to register attempts, instead creating shooting opportunities through intelligent movement and his capacity to drive at defenders. Against Morocco, Olise should find sufficient space to register multiple efforts on goal, particularly given the attacking focus France are expected to maintain throughout ninety minutes.
TIP 3: Achraf Hakimi - Over 1.5 Player Shots - 1pt
23/20 at 10bet.
Achraf Hakimi has established himself as one of the tournament's most forward-thinking fullbacks, consistently arriving in positions where he can attempt shots and create opportunities. The Morocco defender has exceeded 1.5 shots in 4 of his last 5 World Cup appearances, demonstrating remarkable consistency in getting forward and getting into shooting positions despite his primarily defensive role.
His World Cup shot progression reads 0, 3, 5, 2, 3, an upward trajectory that suggests he is settling into his rhythm as the tournament has progressed. Looking at his longer-term form, his shot totals across his last 12 competitive appearances for Morocco read 0, 3, 5, 2, 3, 1, 2, 0, 1, 2, 4, highlighting that whilst his output varies, he consistently arrives in positions to get attempts off.
What separates Hakimi is his aggressive positioning from fullback. Rather than staying deep, he drives forward intelligently, using his athleticism and technical quality to support Morocco's attacking transitions. Against France, Hakimi will likely be afforded space due to France's attacking focus, creating opportunities for him to drive forward and get off shots. His involvement in Morocco's final will be crucial to their attacking threat, and his shot volume should comfortably exceed the 1.5 mark.
TIP 4: Bet Builder - 0.5pts
- Kylian Mbappé – Over 4.5 Player Shots
- Michael Olise – Over 2.5 Player Shots
- Achraf Hakimi – Over 1.5 Player Shots
Best available odds of 8/1 with Unibet at the time of publishing.
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