With a 7th and 16th to his name here over the past two years and with the test on paper looking ideal for him Matt Fitzpatrick must be a lively contender this week. Not outside of the top 20 in his last four starts and a win just last month is enough evidence to show the Englishman is in fine form. The danger lies in the inconsistency of Fitz. Some of his performances are inexplicable and hard to understand when on paper he should thrive. But once again he showed in Crans just what he can do on a course that suits his eye. There is definitely an element to Matt that it's maybe better punting him in running if he gets off to a good start because the reason he goes off these prices is down to those erratic performances. Nevertheless maybe we are entering a different period with the lad posting a win then another three top 15 finishes on the bounce. I've written here before just how far I think this lad will go and a WGC is the next step up that ladder.
 
M. Fitzpatrick - 1.5pts e/w @ 35/1

Solid tee to green merchants do well here and if you can throw in a long ball off the tee that certainly won't hinder you around Sheshan so I think Rafa Cabrera Bello is worthy of small investment. Bello finished inside the top 20 here on debut last year and with two top 15 finishes under his belt in the last two weeks he must have an outside chance of going well here. The 55/1 doesn't quite reflect his chances for me and granted a reasonable putting week (sometimes a lot to ask for Rafa) I think he could contend here over the weekend. He excels at these types of tests and has tasted success before in the Far East so I think he will quietly fancy this with some of the main contenders not quite firing on all cylinders.

R. Cabrera-Bello - 1pt e/w @ 55/1

Finally Thomas Pieters hasn't exactly set the world alight lately but it appears to me there has been an overreaction in the market to his questionable attitude. His talent remains palpable but hit a bad shoot here and there and his head explodes and the man becomes a shadow of what he could be. Nevertheless he has produced some sparkling golf down the last few years and it would be foolish to write him off winning a title of this stature. 14th and 23rd here in two appearances certainly is no disgrace and although his recent performances have not been up to scratch they certainly have not been embarrassing. At a top price of 70/1 and general 66s it certainly represents value to me.

T. Pieters - 1pt e/w @ 70/1