Sam Turner guides you through the live action at the Esher venue this afternoon.
Two of John Gosden’s runners in this prestigious handicap have won so Lingfield maiden scorer Von Blucher will no doubt be popular towards the head of the market as he beat a three-time subsequent winner that day.
He is respected but has failed twice when a warm favourite so the likes of course winner Chief Whip and EBTIHAAL
(Best priced 11-2) arguably make more appeal. The former did well to overcome inexperience on his July debut and still holds an Irish Guineas entry so looks to have made good progress from two to three.
Ebtihaal is also well entered up this summer (Dante Stakes among others) and coped well with cut in the ground last term at Brighton and Doncaster so could be the answer.
Ebtihaal - 0.5pts e/w @ 6/1
(Best price 8-11) has won three of his four starts at Sandown and represents a stable which have landed this Group 3 three times in the last decade. He has also won twice off a break of longer than 100 days, including in this race 12 months ago and, with his stable in excellent form since the start of the turf season (9-25 in the past fortnight), looks the most logical starting point.
could be worth including in some forecasts for those more adventurous as he was third to the selection in the Classic Trial two years ago over course and distance and his two subsequent Sandown runs have seen him win by seven lengths before finishing a close third to Basem (now rated 110). His figures over 10 furlongs read 323128 and he looks worth exploring in the ‘without the favourite’ market or in forecasts.
Western Hymn - 1pt @ 8/11
Master Carpenter win in market without the favourite - 0.5pts @ 9/1
Five winners have emerged from the maiden won by MIDTERM
(Best price 11-10) at Newbury and he has been well backed for the Derby following upbeat bulletins about his improvement and home work. This event looks a good stepping stone for a talented colt even if he is priced rather too prohibitively for his profile.
A number of his rivals have race fitness on their side and could bid to exploit the favourite’s lack of experience. Ode To Evening is a trier and only narrowly failed to win at Lingfield on his comeback. He has reportedly worked with Lumiere and Buratino this spring and has gone favourably so could be worth considering for value seekers.
Midterm - 1pt @ 11/10
Godolphin duo BELARDO
(best price 5-4) and Toormore were runner-up and fourth to top miler Solow in respective Ascot events last term and preference is narrowly for the former as he already has a run under his belt on soft ground when scoring comfortably at Doncaster earlier this month. The selection is at home in small fields as a record of four wins from six starts in races with eight runners of less suggests and the only niggle at his price is his record right-handed which stands at 0-2.
has been second and third on his two course starts and just a length behind Belardo at Ascot in October so is worth considering without the favourite as Ryan Moore is aboard for the first time today and he will be ridden to pick up the pieces late on.
Belardo - 1pt @ 5/4
Gabrial in market without the favourite - 0.5pts @ 11/2