Sam Turner guides you through the live CH4 action at Newmarket and Goodwood.
Intimation holds entries in Group races later this season so could be thrown in here on a mark of 90 for a yard that boast an exceptionally good record with horses of her type. Unfortunately, the daughter of Dubawi has been found in the market so is reluctantly overlooked as is stablemate Mutamakkin who looks sure to find further improvement following his eye-catching reappearance over seven furlongs here earlier this month.
With the Stoute duo occupying the top of the market, it could pay to throw a couple of darts at bigger price rivals and the progressive SPRING OFFENSIVE
is worth an investment. Richard Fahey has begun the season in blistering form and his representative adored soft ground at Pontefract to score readily last time so should appreciate this test of stamina.
MASTER THE WORLD
is a little less obvious, but he is having his 10th run at the track so won’t lack from course knowledge and has gone well fresh in the past.
Spring Offensive - 0.5pts e/w @ 14/1
Master The World - 0.5pts e/w @ 16/1
Dean Ivory has his sprinters in fine form at present and LANCELOT DU LAC
might spring a mini surprise in a fiercely-contested renewal of the Palace House Stakes. Unlike some of his rivals, the six-year-old has race fitness on his side and he arrives on the back of a blinding run when poorly drawn on AW Finals Day at Lingfield. There doesn’t appear a lot of pace drawn low, with the exception of Spirit Quartz, so Robert Winston maybe able to plough his own furrow up the middle of the track. Any rain wouldn’t inconvenience his chance given the selection was a creditable third on heavy ground at Doncaster last November. In contrast, the threat of a deluge would dent confidence in Sole Power, winner of the race in 2013 and 2014, but if the rain did miss Newmarket he would enter calculations again.
Lancelot Du Lac - 0.5pts e/w @ 20/1
The presence of impressive Irish Derby winner JACK HOBBS
gives the market a lop-sided look and he is tough to oppose given a sparkling record when returning to the track following a break. Although beaten when last seen in the Qipco Champion Stakes, the fact that was a Group One and this test is a grade below suggests he will be pretty tough to beat. Simple Verse is the only other Group One winner in the field and she won’t mind if this test turns attritional.
Jack Hobbs - 2pts @ 4/7
Air Force Blue possesses all of the credentials to be a superstar three-year-old this term and his homework in preparation for this first Classic of the season is reported to have been outstanding. He is a difficult horse to oppose given he is proven at the track, clocked a terrific speed figure when winning the Dewhurst from Massaat and is trained by a genius.
However, he is a thin price and the inclination is to try and find something each-way at tastier odds in case the ground negates the favourite’s sparkling turn of foot. Given that MASSAAT
ran in the Dewhurst – a race just about top of my juvenile speed ratings last term - he appears the logical one with some improvement in the offing.
Owen Burrows has made a steady start since taking over from Barry Hills and the step up to a mile with cut in the ground could suit the son of Teofilo perfectly. Yes, he has three lengths to find on last year’s running, but it is almost impossible to gauge how a horse can develop from two to three so at double figures odds he is worth playing.
The troubled run of Foundation in the Racing Post Trophy occupied many of the headlines after the race, ensuring the winner MARCEL
didn’t receive the plaudits he perhaps should have done.
The Lawman colt made giant strides from the middle of last season and the way he quickened to the front at Doncaster suggests he could take top rank as a miler this term. If that is the case, he is worth adding to the portfolio with the excellent Pat Smullen booked.
Massaat - 0.5pts e/w @ 11/1
Marcel - 0.5pts e/w @ 12/1
Given she won the race 12 months ago, Miss Marjurie deserves her place at the head of the market for the Warwick Stakes. She developed into a classy filly last term and will be tough to beat, however BATEEL
looked a star in the making at times last season, including over course and distance on soft ground. The selection holds entries in a York Group 2 and the Group One Pretty Polly Stakes at the Curragh so is clearly expected to leave a rating of 97 behind this term.
She is the number one pick, but it would be remiss not to play recent Doncaster scorer MORE MISCHIEF
given she appears a huge price on that form and her run behind Moonrise Landing on soft ground at Newmarket last autumn.
Bateel - 1pt @ 10/3
More Mischief - 0.5pts e/w @ 16/1
Trainer David Menuisier was left fuming when the Spring Cup was switched from Newbury to Chelmsford recently as SINFONIETTA
looked sure to go close on his favoured soft ground. The progressive four-year-old absolutely hosed up in a strong time on his comeback at Nottingham and, although the handicapper has had his say, the selection looked a potential Listed-class performer that day. Hopefully, he can gain the breaks from stall four with Kieren Fallon on board.
George Baker and Steve Drowne teamed up to win a classy handicap at Epsom recently and FIFTYSHADESOFGREY
is worth playing to follow up his win in this race 12 months ago. The five-year-old enjoyed a warm up at Lingfield recently when the stable’s horses were thought to need the run and, with two track wins under his belt, he appeals as a likely type to run well again.
Sinfonietta - 0.5pts e/w @ 9/1
Fiftyshadesofgrey - 0.5pts e/w @ 12/1