2.15 Market Rasen 2.15
MOABIT (Best price 4-1) has looked a smart hurdler in the making since May in reeling off four straight victories. While the standard of opposition may not be high class, he has displayed a nice turn of foot at times and should find a strongly-run two miles in his favour and confidence would be increased if the rain stays away from the Lincolnshire venue. The same comment applies to chief danger Gwafa who impressed in the Swinton Hurdle at Haydock.
2.45 Market Rasen
Theinval, GOLDEN DOYEN (Best price 10-1) and CERNUNNOS (Best price 8-1) all make appeal here for different reasons and backers will be hoping 16 runners remain as four places are a necessity in such a competitive heat. Nicky Henderson’s Theinval enjoyed the decent ground at Uttoxeter to win a minor event and was a classy hurdler on his day. However, he is reluctantly overlooked in preference for Golden Doyen who, although yet to win a chase in five starts, has twice run well round here behind useful sorts and will appreciate the step up in trip. Cernunnos looks to have been laid out for a tilt at this race and boasts plenty of form on right-handed tracks so is also worth adding to the portfolio.
The Richard Hannon pair of Shwaimsa and Bahaarah are worth watching in the market, especially the latter who looked as though something was ailing her at Newmarket on her comeback. However, there are a number of lightly-raced and progressive 3yo fillies present with Alyday, Golden Stunner and SINGYOURSONG (Best price 7-2) sure to have their supporters too. Slight preference is for the latter who clocked a good time when gamely landing an Ascot handicap last time and she looks to have developed the winning habit.
SCOTTISH (Best price 6-4) appears to be the clear form pick judged on his fine third to Time Test at Sandown in May. The selection already boasts a course and distance victory and its worth recalling he beat Mutakayyef up at Ayr last September (Chill The Kite 4th) and the runner-up has looked a class act this term with two smooth victories. This looks more Master Carpenter’s level and trip after he failed to land a blow in the Coronation Cup (12f) and he could run into the frame with his yard flying at present.
It requires a measure of faith to excuse the performance of THE TIN MAN (Best price 4-1) last time as today’s likely favourite didn’t produce his best at Royal Ascot when too keen early on in the Golden Jubilee. However, he is a class act when in the mood and, returned to a sound surface, he could bounce back to the level of his Windsor defeat of Watchable. Mr Lupton failed to land a blow on the all-weather at Newcastle last time but he had previously impressed in a strongly-run York event and the runner-up, Dancing Star, has won since to boost the form.
Clem Fandango is likely to top the market for this event and rightly so given she bumped into a force of nature In the Group 2 Queen Mary Stakes at Royal Ascot in Lady Aurelia. The northern raider had previously been narrowly beaten in a Beverley Listed event so is clearly up to making her mark at this level. She is probably worth a saver given the level of her form but I was impressed by SPIRITUAL LADY (Best price 10-1) at Newmarket when she powered to an authoritative win on debut and she could offer a little more value. The runner-up to the selection at HQ has won well since at Ascot and there looks more to come from Charlie McBride’s filly.
Mark Johnston enjoys a good record at this venue in handicaps so course winner BATHOS (Best price 16-1) makes some appeal as he was only five lengths behind stablemate Ode To Evening in a warm handicap here at the July meeting. The drop back to a mile could well suit and he might outrun his tidy odds. Of those at the front end of the market Ifwecan, who ran a blinder in a field comprising some useful three-year-olds last time, and FRANKLIN D (Best price 5-1) make appeal. The latter was picked off late on at Sandown by Mutamakkin and is ridden by a jockey who enjoyed a great July festival, especially when allowed to dominate from the front. Those tactics served Franklin D well at Sandown last time.
John Gosden has a history of running fillies in this type of contest even if they have plenty to find on official ratings so TAQAAREED (Best price 9-2), a daughter of Sea The Stars, looks capable of troubling her higher-rated rivals judged on a powerful front-running Kempton performance. She looks a very strong stayer and a lovely prospect and is worth chancing to beat Shall We who posted a fine effort in the Ribblesdale Stakes.
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