Our resident pundit nailed the English 1,000 Guineas winner so can he do the same in Ireland?
Irish 1000 Guineas - Sunday 3.55pm, The Curragh
Having flagged up the claims of Winter to land the first fillies’ classic this season, it goes against the grain to oppose Aidan O’Brien’s charge on her follow up bid back on home soil, but this game is all about value and there’s simply no way REHANA (best price 11-2) should be five times the price given her overall profile.
Off the mark at the second time of asking when she accounted for Rhododendron and several other choice fillies in a quality maiden at the Curragh back in June last year, Micky Halford’s inmate went on to run with great credit in two Group 1’s at the same track despite soft ground not being entirely in her favour.
Roughed off for the season, she made her comeback in the 1000 Guineas Trial at Leopardstown last month and once again acquitting herself with distinction, she indicated another productive campaign is very much in the offing. Having looked the most likely winner two out, the daughter of Dark Angel just didn’t quite see it out up the hill in the final strides and she had to settle for a minor role behind Hydrangea and Winter.
Strictly on that form alone (only beaten a length), she wouldn’t have too much to find with her old rival, but with the likelihood of much faster ground at HQ over the weekend (favourable forecast for most of the week ahead) and having plenty of experience at the Co Kildare venue to call upon, she has more than a fighting chance of turning tables around. Whichever way you strip it down, she rates a cracking each-way bet at her current price given her course form and being one of the few genuine Group 1 fillies in the field.