Oddschecker tips for every race at Navan on Thursday.
There was plenty of confidence behind LUST in the market ahead of his Curragh debut and he'd obviously been showing a fair bit at home. He was a little bit slow into stride that day and ran greenly when asked to make up ground on the inner. It looked like he would learn plenty from the experience and stepping up another furlong now could see significant improvement from this colt who holds a Group 1 entry in the National Stakes. Also engaged in that same race is the beautifully-bred Ballydoyle newcomer Brazil, a full-brother to Irish Derby and St Leger winner Capri. Donnacha O'Brien saddles Fernando Vichi, a debutant by Australia, and market moves for him would be interesting.Prediction : 1st Lust 2nd Brazil 3rd Fernando Vichi
A competitive looking heat and PRISONER'S DILEMMA may be able to follow up on his comeback win at Naas. That form has been boosted since with the runner-up Gee Rex scoring at the Curragh. That was Prisoner's Dillemma's handicap debut and he still looks relatively unexposed compared to a lot of these. Tony The Gent was third to the selection at Naas and on 5lb better terms now he is entitled to be a big player for an in-form team. Annexation won with a nice bit up his sleeve on his first start for Henry de Bromhead at Gowran Park last month. The handicapper reacted by giving him a 12lb hike but the Wootton Bassett gelding could still be competitive despite the rise.Prediction : 1st Prisoners Dilemma 2nd Tony The Gent 3rd Annexation
With a rating of 85 you'd imagine ALLEZ ALLEZ ALLEZ could well be able to get through a maiden such as this. All appearances to date have come over the same track and trip for the Invincible Spirit filly, six furlongs at Naas, and she's raced on varying surfaces. It'll hardly be any great inconvenience to the selection if the ground deteriorates from the current good description, with plenty of rain forecast in the interim. A sprint this may be, but Allez Allez Allez will see out the distance well, which could be all important at this venue on softening terrain. Gulf Of Aidan finished ahead of the selection last time. He's since been a beaten even money favourite at Sligo, and a visor is now tried. Each way cases can be built for many others.Prediction : 1st Allez Allez Allez 2nd Gulf Of Aidan 3rd Call Of The Jungle
For the fillies over the same trip thirty five minutes earlier, the choice was Allez Allez Allez for Jessica Harrington and Shane Foley, and the Commonstown team could strike here as well with PAPA BEAR. His stable companion is rated 85, and with a mark of 84 Papa Bear should be there or thereabouts in a maiden such as this. The Kodiac colt has twice lost out narrowly in his career to date, indeed last time he just failed when a head off Hightimeyouwon at Naas. Cheekpieces, deployed for the first time on that occasion, are left off now. I Am Thunder is back at Navan after a decent debut when third over a fortnight ago. Michael O'Callaghan's charge has claims, and there are a few others with at least place hopes.Prediction : 1st Papa Bear 2nd I Am Thunder 3rd Ecclesiastical
HALF NUTZ can land the hat-trick. On his penultimate start, in October, he landed a valuable nursery over course and distance on yielding to soft ground. He started his three-year-old campaign in June with victory by a length over an extended six furlongs at Limerick. The handicapper took note and gave him another 9lb, but in-form sprinters are hard to ignore. Crucially, he handles rain-softened ground. Taggalo is closely rated with Half Nutz, however, plenty of rain is expected in Navan and cut in the ground is an unknown for her. Lady Alcazar nearly made the breakthrough in Sligo after attempting to make all. She was caught at the post, and could adopt the same tactics here as she has stall one to race from. Noel Meade's Quick Quick is no forlorn hope on seasonal reappearance. He handles testing ground and sports a first-time hood.Prediction : 1st Half Nutz 2nd Taggalo 3rd Lady Alcazar
A very good race with no less than eight course and distance winners. Strong Johnson is cutting a dash in the sprinting ranks after obliging by a short head in the Rockingham at the Curragh. In addition, he handles testing conditions. The question is whether the handicapper has caught up with him after tacking another 7lb on. STANHOPE availed of a drop in class, but had to carry 10-2 to victory, over course and distance last week. He has a 6lb penalty, but that is more than offset by the booking of 7lb-claimer Joey Sheridan. He could be value to turn around the Rockingham form with Strong Johnson (when beaten almost four and a half lengths into seventh). Primo Uomo isn't out of it at a price. He put in two solid efforts in June including when sixth in the Rockingham. A 10lb claimer eases his burden. Master Matt and Nullifier add further spice to the mix.Prediction : 1st Stanhope 2nd Strong Johnson 3rd Primo Uomo
ELEUTHERA has been in fine fettle since racing resumed in June, and has strong claims. He built upon placed efforts at Naas and Fairyhouse to land a sprint handicap at Naas on Saturday. He travelled smoothly on that yielding to soft ground, and the 6lb penalty may not stop him from following up. Colin Keane has been booked for A Step Too Far who has been runner-up on her last two appearances. She is dangerous off a lowly rating. Dolce Sicily signalled a return to form with third in Sligo at a big price. She is not on a bad mark at all. Early Call catches the eye among the others. He has won twice at this track, and is dropping down the weights. Pretty Smart also has the ability to get involved.Prediction : 1st Eleuthera 2nd A Step Too Far 3rd Dolce Sicily