13:40 Nottingham

The Tom Clover trained Rogue Bear (best priced at 13/8) won over this course and distance earlier this month and should hold strong claims off only 6lb higher. The three-year-old gelding made a surprise winning debut at Doncaster earlier this year when sent off 18/1 on good to firm ground before finishing 3rd under a penalty on soft ground at the same venue in May. 

Rogue Bear then returned from a 111 day break to finish 3rd at Ascot on his handicap debut over 7f before appreciating the step up to 1m ½f to win over this course and distance last time on soft ground. He stretched clear under David Egan that day to win by 2 ¼ lengths and I feel a 6lb rise by the handicapper could prove lenient to this progressive son of Kodiac.  

Rogue Bear - 1pt @ 13/8

14:15 Nottingham

This is a more competitive race than Show Me Show Me (best priced at 16/1) contested at Pontefract nine days ago but he should run well once again. The Richard Fahey trained four-year-old has already won twice this season at Hamilton and Lingfield and bounced back to form last time at Pontefract when 2nd off a mark of 82. 

Show Me Show Me was only beaten a neck that day which has earnt him a 3lb rise up to a mark of 85 but he can run off his previous rating of 82 so he is 3lb “well in” at the weights. Despite now going up in class from a 0-85 up to a 0-95 handicap, Show Me Show Me looks sure to run well with up to five places available and connections have even booked Connor Murtagh to take off 3lb. 

Shoe Me Show Me - 0.5pts e/w @ 16/1

15:50 Fakenham

Laura Morgan has a good record with horses coming from other yards and Seemingly So (best priced at 7/2) looked set to be involved in the finish at Perth on his stable debut in July before falling at the 12th fence. He had previously finished 2nd in two handicap chases for Olly Murphy off marks of 112 and 115 so he looks well handicapped off a mark of 107.

Adam Wedge shows a profit in the last five years when riding for Laura Morgan (+10.53pts profit to a level stake) so it is positive that he retains the ride on Seemingly So and I expect him to make up for last time. 

Seemingly So - 1pt @ 7/2