15:12 Southwell

TIPPERARY TIGER (NAP) (best price 7-4) was just narrowly run out of the argument at Wolverhampton last time out when attempting a furlong beyond his best, but now returning to a C&D where he is unbeaten in two previous starts, Karl Burke’s gelding can keep his 100% record intact. 
Successful on his first visit to the Midland venue back in December, the son of Mayson returned a month later to contest a similar Class 4 contest and following a strong gallop from the start, he stayed on powerfully in the closing stages to eventually overhaul the more prominently ridden Palifico. Although it may have seemed a standard victory at the time, the time figure revealed it was anything but and if today’s race sets up anything like it did a month ago, the four-year-old is going to be very difficult to beat.
Tipperary Tiger - 2pts

19:45 Thursday

There’s one Premier League game on Thursday evening as two battlers for a European place meet at the Emirates as Arsenal host Wolves. An away win here will see the Old Gold leapfrog the Gunners as well as West Ham and go into 5th place but Mikel Arteta will be eyeing up the Champions League places given his side have as many as three games in hand on rivals.

Arsenal have been ticking along nicely and somewhat under the radar and it’s fair to say they’re benefitting from keeping patience with Arteta as they’re looking to have a bit more identity about them which is garnering positive performances as well as results. They were one of the few teams to actually get the better of Wolves just a few weeks backing, nicking a 1-0 win at Molineux.

Both sides have been strong defensively, especially Wolves. Bruno Lage has seen only Manchester City concede more goals than his charges and he certainly will be in contention for the manager of the season if his side keeps up their impressive form. Lage will be delighted that he has diminutive duo Daniel Podence and Pedro Neto back available now which upgrades their attack significantly.

Arsenal do deserve respect for their home form and decent performance data but I’m not having them as 4/6 shots here against a serious opponent. Taking Wolves with a +1 start on the asian handicap looks a solid route to take, we’d only lose our stakes if Arsenal won by more than one goal. The draw also looks a big runner here given the low goal expectancy and odds of 3/1 look too generous to turn down.

Draw - 1pt @ 3/1