Epsom Derby

The recent withdrawal of ante-post favourite and most backed for the Cazoo Derby at Epsom, Luxembourg, has opened the door for DESERT CROWN to take favouritism for the Classic – both in terms of market price and the percentage of bets through oddschecker. 

Luxembourg, who landed a Group One as a two-year-old at Doncaster and finished third in the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket late last month, was pulled out after trainer Aidan O’Brien found him to be slightly lame following a routine canter.

When the news broke of Luxembourg’s absence on Sunday 8th May, Desert Crown came in from a general 7/1 to 11/2, a price which shortened significantly again when Desert Crown landed the Dante Stakes at York last Thursday from Royal Patronage by 3 ¼ lengths. He is now 15/8 in places for the Epsom Derby on Saturday 4th June but remains a best price 9/4 through oddschecker. 

Over the year so far, only Luxembourg (12.87%) has attracted more bets for the Derby than Desert Crown (12.32%), whose surge in popularity has found him in 21.37% of the betslips this week.

Epsom Oaks

Meanwhile, EMILY UPJOHN holds a similarly strong position in the Group 1 Cazoo Oaks, a fillies-only Classic run over the same course and distance as the Coronation Cup and Derby. 

Like Desert Crown, she too reinforced her market position with a win at York last week, beating Life of Dreams in the Musidora Stakes by 5 ½ lengths.

In winning the race, the John and Thady Gosden-trained filly moved in from 4/1 to a best price 5/4, leapfrogging Aidan O'Brien's Tuesday (4/1) at the top of the market.

Over the year to date, Emily Upjohn has taken 25.11% of the bets on the race through oddschecker with Tuesday second with 15.62%. Interestingly, Moon De Vega has pulled in more bets than Emily Upjohn this week, and moved from 50/1 into 25/1 in places (best 40/1 through oddschecker). 

That’s nearly 75% of the bets on Moon De Vega for the year this week alone, against 10.20% of bets on Emily Upjohn for 2022 coming in this week so worth keeping an eye on.