16:45 Chelmsford

Ralph Beckett has taken his time with STATE OCCASION (best price 5/1) and I think that could start to bear fruit now. She only ran 4 times last year and she wasn’t out the frame on any of them starts. The form stacks up particularly that third at Newmarket over a mile on final outing. The winner Rebel Territory made a winning return at Sandown on Thursday night and there are also subsequent winners down the field in the shape of Scottish Summit, Redarna, Greatgadian with the latter having won his next two starts. She ran well fresh last season so I don’t think fitness will be an issue and if she gets the gaps she might just come home best. Plenty of dangers but likely headed by Natural Path who was a good third at Newmarket last time. Blue Flame also remains in good form and has to enter calculations too as only missed the hat-trick by half a length here last time.