17:00 Royal Ascot

I’m going to take a chance on young apprentice Harry Davies riding his first Royal Ascot winner on Tuesday. I thought ARCADIAN SUNRISE (best price 6/1) was a big eye-catcher on return just overracing in the early stages before staying on for fourth in the Chester Cup behind Cleveland last month. He was beaten less than 3 lengths at the line and I’m expecting him to take a sizeable step forward from that here. This track should suit and given he has won at the Galway Festival and at York’s Ebor Meeting he is no stranger to big race success. I expect him to be switched off early so we will need an element of luck picking our way through the field but if he gets the gaps he may well be finishing better than anything. He obviously has a handy 5lb off his back as well and I think everything points towards a big run. Coltrane is my idea of the main danger as he certainly wasn’t stopping at the line at Chester. At a bigger price Going Gone has a squeak if seeing out the trip.