Oddschecker tips for every race at Tipperary on Monday.
THE MODEL KINGDOM was a smart sort in bumpers last season and can make a winning start over hurdles. She won all three starts in bumpers on varying ground conditions including a Grade 3 Mares race at the Punchestown Festival. That win was all the more meritorious as she was thought to be short of full fitness having suffered a stress fracture and had to stand in her box for two months. She was subsequently beaten in a Flat maiden at Roscommon but the winner, Startedwithakiss, followed up in a Leopardstown handicap. Chautuaqua won a Clonmel bumper in decisive fashion earlier this year while Ginnets Girl also won a bumper at Sligo last month and should progress from her hurdle debut behind better fancied stablemate Nonbinding at Navan just over a fortnight ago.Prediction : 1st The Model Kingdom 2nd Ginnets Girl 3rd Chautuaqua
HERCULE DU SEUIL was bought for 185,000 at Arqana just after going close on his sole French hurdle start and was then absent for a year until appearing at the Leopardstown Christmas meeting. The son of Saddler Maker dropped away tamely after the penultimate flight but is surely capable of a lot better. From The Ashes showed promise both in bumpers and over hurdles earlier this year and put in a creditable effort when fourth at Listowel recently. That came after a break of four months and he could well progress again. Ferdinand Star has a similar profile and looks capable of a modest maiden win on his third to Pale Blue Dot at Bellewstown.Prediction : 1st Hercule Du Seuil 2nd From The Ashes 3rd Ferdinand Star
BALKITO progressed well in staying handicap chases earlier this year winning at Thurles and Limerick. The Barry Connell-trained gelding handles soft ground well and a mark of 106 on his return to hurdles looks attractive compared to a current chase rating of 125. The stable is also in good form after recording a double at Roscommon last Monday. Rebellious Gale also stays well and has been lightly raced since scoring over 2m6f at Limerick this spring. He caught the eye last time when staying on over this trip at the Galway Festival and the Tony Martin yard is also in a rich vein of form. Saint Bernadette makes appeal after a decent run in a Listowel maiden over this trip, while Simply Shabra and Robindale are others to consider.Prediction : 1st Balkito 2nd Rebellious Gale 3rd Saint Bernadette
CHIEF SEATTLE isn't the easiest horse to win with but is undoubtedly well treated over hurdles. Although pulled up at Listowel last time, the John Ryan-trained gelding had been in good form prior to that disappointing effort. A winner over fences at Ballinrobe earlier this month, he can race off a lower hurdles mark here and also has Michael O'Sullivan taking off an additional 7lb. Tullyhogue Fort won the aforementioned Listowel race in taking fashion but has a slight question mark on this ground. With both career successes coming on a sound surface, he may not want to see too much rain. Cher Why Not stayed on strongly to win at Clonmel recently so should again be involved at the business end.Prediction : 1st Chief Seattle 2nd Tullyhogue Fort 3rd Cher Why Not
RAILWAY HURRICANE should prove difficult to beat despite being vulnerable to an unexposed type. The former point-to-point winner, who has plenty experience over fences, was also just about the best of these over hurdles. While it is an obvious concern that he has yet to win in 12 starts since going chasing, he has reached the frame on five occasions. Motown Maggie impressed when winning a Mares Novice Chase at Listowel but that success means she has to concede weight to most. However, given how well she jumped at the County Kerry track, she looks capable of going close. So Scottish has a bit to find strictly on bare form but gives the impression he is a horse open to plenty improvement over fences. Brampton Belle lacks chasing experience but is a thoroughly unexposed mare.Prediction : 1st Railway Hurricane 2nd Motown Maggie 3rd So Scottish
Philip Rothwell enjoyed a double at Gowran on Friday and has prospects here with UNION PARK. A hurdles winner at Ballinrobe last year, he was fourth in his first two handicaps over fences and the form of his latest sixth at Killarney in August has been boosted lately. The third and fourth in that race both hit the target at the Listowel festival and the six-year-old may be able to continue his trainer's profitable spell. I'll Be That Lady was in fine fettle earlier in the summer with two seconds and a comfortable win at this venue. That was over 2m1f but she has form over further as well and may be suited by stepping back up in trip after her latest third at Wexford. Search For A Myth has been runner-up three times in handicap hurdles and has twice gone down by less than a length. Much will depend on how she fares on her intended chase debut at Killarney on Sunday.Prediction : 1st Union Park 2nd Ill Be That Lady 3rd Search For A Myth
OUR UNCLE JACK took a big step forward on his second start when finishing fourth in a bumper at the recent Listowel festival. He was beaten a little over six lengths and the three in front of him were all previous winners so he should go close back against maidens. His trainer won a bumper at Ballinrobe last month with a quietly fancied newcomer and the stablemates have probably brought each other on at home. Kiki Badger ran poorly when last seen in May but performed creditably in some strong contests last term. He was third at the Leopardstown Christmas meeting and filled the same spot behind two useful types at Naas in the spring. Kilta, for whom Jody Townend is a significant booking, is a half-sister to a dual hurdles winner and showed some promise on debut at Navan. Prediction : 1st Our Uncle Jack 2nd Kiki Badger 3rd Kilta