18:00 Southwell

Luke Morris gave Big Narstie an absolute peach to finally get his head back in front over 7f here last time and he has to be respected but he is favourite and there is little value in his price. I prefer RUMNOTRED despite only finishing fifth at Wolverhampton last time. He was squeezed out at the start and as a result probably had to make more ground up than ideal. He was getting going late but the leaders had already flown.

That form is already starting to work out and down 1lb on just his second start in a handicap he could come good here. Oliver Searle claims a handy 7lb off his back again and I think he represents decent value in the betting. Big Narstie is a danger if things drop right again but Southwold would also have to be noted as he goes handicapping now having already shown a fair bit of promise.

Rumnotred - 1pt