19:10 Kempton

This looks a good race on paper but I’m keeping the faith with GREENHAM BAY as I thought he ran better than the bare result last time. He had won two on the bounce prior to that beating some good horses in Fix You and Snuggle. The form stacks up and he was only actually beaten two lengths last time. He was given a lot to do and didn’t really have much pace to target but stayed on well and was nearest finish.

Back on the AW he could easily take a step forward again and I think he represents decent value. Dubai Dawn won his first two starts at Wolverhampton before struggling on turf last time. Back on the AW he could easily turn out to be the main danger to the selection. Tawalla impressed winning at Ripon and now handicapping is another one that catches the eye.

Greenham Bay - 1pt