UK Horse Racing Tips: Bellewstown

The 80-rated SIMPSON'S PARADOX has reasonable claims. He has finished runner-up on his last two starts when caught in the closing stages over slightly further, so this drop in trip could work the oracle. He is a full brother to the top-class Alpha Centauri and a Bellewstown maiden probably wasn't on the agenda when he was starting out, but there should be a race or two in him. Woodcock Flight has been placed in five of his 10 races and should get in the mix, while Hokusai came in second when last seen at this track in April which gives him prospects. Not Forgotten is rated 3lb superior to Simpson's Paradox, however, his best form has been on the Polytrack at Dundalk. Joseph O'Brien's newcomer Princess Rabab should be checked for market strength in a race that won't take a lot of winning.
Prediction : 1st Simpsons Paradox 2nd Woodcock Flight 3rd Hokusai

THE BOG BANK has a very good record at this track and could post her third course success. James Ryan has struck up a terrific association with this mare and his 7lb claim keeps her highly competitive. She wasn't beaten far into third at Dundalk a fortnight ago and should relish returning to Bellewstown. She has a tough draw, but it was a similar story in her two previous victories here. Barnhill Rose is more than capable over an extended 7f and ought to be on the premises with Daniel King claiming 5lb. John McConnell's horses are always worth scrutinising at this venue and Smaoineamh Sile looks threatening after a much-improved fourth over further in Leopardstown. Dylan Browne McMonagle is a good booking for Indiana Grey who is returning from a break. James Henry is another with a chance while Sunset Nova is always capable of popping up as evidenced by nine career victories.
Prediction : 1st The Bog Bank 2nd Barnhill Rose 3rd Smaoineamh Sile

RAMPAGE looks another good ride for James Ryan. He stayed on well for third in a big field handicap at the Curragh on his last start and a new visor might eke out a bit more from him. He won in this grade at Leopardstown in July. Skontonovski won at Dundalk on his penultimate start and then came with his customary late challenge in Killarney before going down by half a length. He is dangerous off the same mark of 59. Jazz Dreamers has a course victory in the book and showed that another one may not be far away after a close second in Gowran Park this month. Life is tougher for What Adaay after being hit with a 9lb rise for beating Rampage by a neck at this track in July, but her course form figures of '122' will stand her in good stead.
Prediction : 1st Rampage 2nd Skontonovski 3rd Jazz Dreamers

SWEETEST ROSE appeals in this grade. She had been acquitting herself well in maiden company with four placed efforts before getting off the mark at Listowel in June. Connections then pitched her into Listed class at Naas last month where she finished unplaced. She should be a factor off a mark of 79 in her first handicap, though. Gosford was a very solid second in a big field at the Curragh and the third home has since delivered in Killarney. He won at Gowran Park on his penultimate start and should be to the fore here. Fleetfootsoldier won at Bellewstown last month and is another to consider, while Yuzu, Quantum Light and Pub Talk will all have their supporters in a competitive race.
Prediction : 1st Sweetest Rose 2nd Gosford 3rd Fleetfootsoldier

BEANO POWER showed big improvement on her second start and might be able to concede plenty weight. Out of a well-bred unraced mare and by a speedy stallion, she ran nicely to the line in a better maiden at Cork and can continue to progress. Comein Comein was beaten 5.25 lengths by the selection at Cork but now being all of 18lb better off, cannot be ruled out. Janzoor, in first-time cheekpieces, has plenty pace and should be suited by this distance but probably needs to improve while Tai Tam Bay ran well when dropped in distance at Sligo and is suited by easy ground. Glamorously disappointed in a valuable race at Naas and runs in first-time cheekpieces while Little Miss Peppi finished last in that Naas race but had previously chased home a useful type in a three-runner race at Hamilton and has a light weight.
Prediction : 1st Beano Power 2nd Comein Comein 3rd Janzoor

POLAR BEAR hasn't run since disappointing in May, when his rider reported he 'didn't let himself down on the ground', but is generally reliable. A C&D winner in April, he finished a third at Premier Handicap level in early May, holds Charming Lady on two previous meetings and will have been freshened up. Mythical Phoenix beat Double Jabbed (into second) and Different Look (fourth) here in July but the trio meet on different terms. Double Jabbed makes his handicap debut and is 9lb better off. Hot Whispers won that Curragh race but her rating has climbed to 56 and is also 4lb out of the handicap and was previously beaten 18 times. Shoebox King disappointed slightly in that Curragh race but has claims on previous form and likes easy ground. Charming Lady's stamina may have been stretched at Leopardstown while So Majestic and Tamazu aren't as effective on easy ground.
Prediction : 1st Polar Bear 2nd Double Jabbed 3rd Shoebox King

There are numerous form-lines tying the principal runners and perhaps well-bred NIGHT GLOW can continue her progression. Out of a winning sister to Oaks winner Light Shift, she is a sibling to four blacktype performers and while underwhelming on debut (2.5 lengths behind Dalliances), subsequently finished well at Killarney, hinting more improvement is likely and also steps up a furlong. Aird mightn't have been herself at Leopardstown and returns from a mini-break. She showed promise on his initial runs, beating Delicate Girl on her June reappearance but was subsequently disappointed slightly at Leopardstown, finishing behind Alalcance, which was then well beaten at Killarney. Delicate Girl holds first-time visored Eziva on Galway form, although is 7lb worse off while beautifully-bred Erato was laboured on CD debut in July and wears blinkers. Deadly Nightshade was behind Aird at Leopardstown and while she should progress, needs to find plenty improvement.
Prediction : 1st Night Glow 2nd Aird 3rd Delicate Girl

BARNACULLIA is a strong stayer who is just 2lb higher than when winning a Fegentri Series handicap at Leopardstown. Reliable in all codes, he was well held when fifth at the Galway festival but the first two horses pulled well clear and a reproduction of his latest win would give him every chance under today's 5lb claimer. Walking On Glass beat the selection 1.3 lengths at Galway and subsequently ran well at the Curragh 16 days ago. The pair meet on identical terms but the selection is two years younger and less exposed. Khadaash hasn't run since a useful fifth-placing on All-Weather Finals Day in April but could be ready for his local yard. He stays well but mightn't appreciate easy ground. Crassus was behind the selection at Galway and likes soft while Herculaneum won well at Down Royal in July and ran well at Galway but isn't ahead of the handicapper. Kendancer needs these staying distances while Dartan runs in first-time cheekpieces.
Prediction : 1st Barnacullia 2nd Walking On Glass 3rd Khadaash