14:30 Lingfield

This definitely looks the case of there being value in a favourite. UPEPO has won 2 of his last 3 now and was firmly in command over a mile and a quarter at this track last time. The step up in trip is only going to suit given the way he went through the line the last day and I think he can defy a further 6lb rise. Rossa

Ryan is riding with plenty of confidence right now and is unbeaten on this horse (2-2) which must be another plus especially at this lowly level. Hill Station has won at this track and could go well but was denied the hat-trick at Wolverhampton last time and will need to better that to have a chance. He is still the most likely danger as the betting is suggesting though. Pablo Prince fared best of those held up last time and that form has been franked as well so he is respected too.