UK Horse Racing Tips: Southwell

MUSICAL DIVA had Tiselle Tuendchen (fourth) and Showmeagoodtime (eighth) behind when securing victory by just over three lengths in this grade at Wolverhampton last time and has been given an 8lb rise for that success. David O'Meara's filly could have more to come following that confidence-boosting first victory and she looks well placed to go in again. The main danger may be Lotting's Lass, who remains on a workable mark and could have a say if she bounces back from her disappointing display at Southwell last month.
Prediction : 1st Musical Diva 2nd Lottings Lass 3rd Tiselle Tuendchen

TOPTIME filled the runner-up spot off this rating over 6f here on his latest outing and was picked up late on that day, so this return to 5f may suit and he is taken to go one place better. Arzaak wasn't beaten far into third in this grade over C&D earlier in the month and could get into contention off an unchanged mark, while last-time-out winner Basholo is another to watch out for despite a 3lb rise for that Wolverhampton victory.
Prediction : 1st Toptime 2nd Arzaak 3rd Basholo

PAGLIACCI was only denied by a head into second over an extended mile at Wolverhampton on his latest outing and he takes a big step up in distance, which could eke out the improvement needed to shed his maiden tag. Trojan Storm produced a pleasing debut effort to fill the runner-up berth at Wolverhampton and is another taking a step up in trip, so he has to be considered with that experience under his belt. Lord Normandy should mount a bold bid, even with a 7lb penalty to shoulder after his victory over 1m2f at Chelmsford.
Prediction : 1st Pagliacci 2nd Trojan Storm 3rd Lord Normandy

A commendable fifth in last year's Derby, The Foxes readily holds Military Order (last) on that Epsom form and appeals strongly on his all-weather debut. The Churchill colt sets the standard on official ratings and can go well if adapting to the surface on his return from a 155-day break. Claymore also comes into the reckoning after a second-placed finish in Listed company on Polytrack at Deauville in November. Nevertheless, when it comes to proven match-fitnesss and effectiveness on synthetics, BASE NOTE has fewer questions to answer than his likely main rivals and could provide a bit of value here.
Prediction : 1st Base Note 2nd The Foxes 3rd Claymore

LIV LUCKY has started to get her bearings for her current yard and, on the back of two solid displays over 7f at this venue, she could be difficult to overhaul dropping into a classified stakes. Big Narstie can go close if he replicates the same level of flamboyance he showed in similar event over 7f at Wolverhampton 10 days ago, while Duisker also rates a player in this company.
Prediction : 1st Liv Lucky 2nd Big Narstie 3rd Duisker

BROUGHTONS FLARE is thriving on being kept busy and, given he was less than a length behind Inexplicable over this course and distance on his penultimate start, he rates a solid option to reverse the form with his old rival, who is much worse off at these weights. Ashmore looks the pick of the remainder, though Ebury is also considered for a place.
Prediction : 1st Broughtons Flare 2nd Inexplicable 3rd Ashmore

DAAFY was an unfortunate second last time due to the blindfold being removed late and, barring any further mishaps, he can go one better off an unchanged mark. Pride Of Spain finished a creditable fourth at Wolverhampton 13 days ago despite racing freely. A first-time hood may help him settler better and he warrants respect, while Powdering and Kitaab are others to note.
Prediction : 1st Daafy 2nd Pride Of Spain 3rd Powdering

There has been no stopping BOBBY JOE LEG, who completed his double by defeating Daafy (engaged to run at 2.45) over C&D a week ago. Ruth Carr's 10-year-old must shoulder a 4lb penalty but that might not be enough to thwart the in-form gelding. Locked N' Loaded has plenty in hand judged on past exploits and there were signs of a return to form in his recent course fourth. Media Guest is most appealing of the remainder.
Prediction : 1st Bobby Joe Leg 2nd Locked N Loaded 3rd Media Guest

A 6lb rise for SHE'S THE DANGER's latest course success looks more than fair when taking into account the fact jockey Lewis Edmunds dropped his whip on the mare inside the final furlong. Stall 12 isn't the most favourable draw but she is a pacey individual who could take all the beating if getting across from that wide berth. Conversely, recent Kempton scorer First Company has the plumb draw and must feature prominently in calculations, along with Bell Shot. The son of Dark Angel finished behind First Company last time but is now 2lb better off with his old foe.
Prediction : 1st Shes The Danger 2nd First Company 3rd Bell Shot