Joe Norris from GYTO picks a horse at Chester races for his Sunday stat bet.
15:05 Chester
I backed TACTICAL PLAN to open his account at Catterick last month and while he was beaten I thought he ran a cracker going down just half a length.
Visually that looked a good effort and the form has already been franked with the third Toy Soldier getting off the mark at Musselburgh on Friday.
Anthropologist will put good pace to the race and that will help him settle and give him a target to run down.
When you delve into the stats the case only becomes stronger. Trainer Ed Dunlop is flying with his handicap debutants this year.
He has already had four winners and 12 places with a P&L to level stakes of over 88 points for those winners and 100 points for those placed. This means they are usually priced up at decent odds so the 5/1 definitely looks worth snapping up.