Joe Norris from GYTO Tuesday Stat Bet and Lucky 15 tips for today’s horse racing.
19:00 Newcastle
GYTO horse racing tips for Tuesday 17th September features a stat bet for Newcastle and a Lucky 15 covering Redcar, Yarmouth, Brighton and Newcastle.
Tuesday Stat Bet
With Shielas Well not taking her chance this nursery has been blown wide open and KILTEEL looks a really interesting runner for Ed Dunlop. This filly by Sergei Prokofiev is yet to show a great deal in her first 3 starts but the fact she has been sent off 66/1, 150/1 and 200/1 says a lot. She is pitched into a nursery off a mark of just 52 and could easily make her presence felt now.
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When you delve into the stats trainer Ed Dunlop has done well with handicap debutants this year recording +84 points from a win perspective and +95 from a place so the 8/1 each way and 13/8 to hit the frame make tons of appeal even more so with the hat-trick seeking Shielas Well now out.
Kilteel (1pt PLACE @ 13/8 3 places)
LATEST P&L FOR STAT BET +36.2 point profit
14:10 Redcar
Lucky 15 Tips Today
Today’s Lucky 15 from Joe Norris at GYTO pays 136/1 at the time of posting – a £1 Lucky 15 would return £430 from a £15 outlay.
- Do It Now – Redcar 2.10
- Brastias - Yarmouth 2.35
- Bluebells Boy - Brighton 5.20
- Our Noble Lord - Newcastle 5.25
There have already been a couple of non runners so this race is cutting up and I’m expecting DO IT NOW to be hard to beat. He needs to bounce back after finishing ninth at York but his form before that is quite impressive winning easily at this track before an excellent fifth in the Super Sprint. These are much calmer waters and he likely has more to come after just 6 starts. Lord Roxby looks the danger after impressing at Beverley last month.
14:35 Yarmouth
The way BRASTIAS got off the mark at Redcar back in July was quite impressive for the level and despite blowing out next time he bounced back with an eye-catching run at Haydock. He was slowly into stride and was denied a run when trying to make headway. He kept on and was nearest finish so a bit unlucky on the day. If he progresses from that again and this pans out more favourably he must have a big shout.
17:20 Brighton
Brighton 5.20 Bluebells Boy (2/1)
I can see BLUEBELLS BOY being tough to beat here for Darryll Holland. The yard are in good form at the moment and this 5yo impressed getting his head back in front at Lingfield last week. That form has already been given substance with the fifth Midnight Flame going close at Bath next time out. He carries a penalty but his form stacks up and he looks hard to oppose. Tilsworth Ony Ta is interesting if bouncing back but even so Alfred Cove is the likely danger.
17:25 Newcastle
Newcastle 5.25 Our Noble Lord (7/2)
This looks a good opportunity for OUR NOBLE LORD to get off the mark. This good looking chestnut ran a big race in defeat when sent off 50/1 at Ayr last month. He was beaten just over a length into third and the penny really seems to have dropped now.
That was just his second start for this yard and if he builds on it then he should definitely go close. Wheres The Crumpet is interesting back up in trip and could give him most to think about.
OVERALL PROFIT AND LOSS FOR GYTO = -48.05 POINT LOSS
