Joe Norris from GYTO Thursday Stat Bet and Lucky 15 tips for today’s horse racing.
14:20 Yarmouth
It is pretty obvious NO RELEASE has been saved for handicaps as he really hasn’t shown a great deal. He was nibbled at on debut but never landed a blow and since then has been sent off 66/1 and 250/1 which tells the story. He actually shaped better than the bare result at Windsor on final start and that form looks pretty good too. He could easily take a massive step forward now pitched into a nursery and might be worth chancing at 6/1.
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Trainer Ed Dunlop has had a good year with handicap debutants saddling 4 winners and 11 places from 39 runners. He has also been in good form operating at a 22% strike rate in the past fortnight and jockey Rossa Ryan is also riding the crest of a wave with 13 winners in the past 14 days alone.
No Release (1pt PLACE @ 11/8 3 places)
LATEST P&L FOR STAT BET +44.83 point profit
Lucky 15 Tips Today
Today’s Lucky 15 from Joe Norris at GYTO pays 212/1 at the time of posting – a £1 Lucky 15 would return £612 from a £15 outlay.
- Eternal Sunshine – Ayr 3.12
- Smart Hero - Yarmouth 4.25
- Monsieur Fudge - Pontefract 4.40
- Kinetic - Chelmsford 5.30
Ayr 3.12 Eternal Sunshine (13/8)
Likeable and consistent filly ETERNAL SUNSHINE has won 4 of her last 6 and on the two occasions she was beaten she has finished a close second. She was denied just a head at Musselburgh last time and back at this venue I expect her to return to winning ways. She is off the same mark and is hard to oppose.
Yarmouth 4.25 Smart Hero (7/2)
I’m still not quite sure how SMART HERO was beaten at Sandown on return but the drop back to this trip saw him firmly back on track winning impressively at Southwell last time. He has more to come over especially over this distance and should have a great chance to follow up against these.
Pontefract 4.40 Monsieur Fudge (2/1)
I know there are only 6 heading to post for this maiden now but it looks quite a good race and MONSIEUR FUDGE could be the one to beat. This Frankel colt has done little wrong finishing third on debut at Newmarket and then going close on debut for this yard at Salisbury. He has more to come and is worth keeping on side.
Chelmsford 5.30 Kinetic (5/1)
I was at Brighton the other day when Saint Riquier was beaten at skinny odds and he might be worth opposing again as he did run about under pressure. KINETIC is a filly that knows how to win and she might be capable of completing the four-timer. She only prevailed a nose at Musselburgh and is only 4lb higher so should run big again.
