15:12 Hamilton

I know she can be temperamental but if she is on her game then BAY DREAM BELIEVER should prove hard to beat. She was denied the hat-trick at Beverley but she shaped as though this slight step up in trip will suit and she also clocked a decent speed figure even in defeat last time. She is off the same mark and Rhys Elliott can claim his full 7lb this time.

When you look at the stats too it only backs up her case as the yard are operating at a near 22% strike rate in the past fortnight which has to be encouraging. A slightly softer surface is also no issue looking at her form with cut in the ground.

Bay Dream Believer (1pt WIN @ 4/1)

Bay Dream Believer (2pt PLACE @ 1/1 2 places)

LATEST P&L FOR STAT BET +35.83 point profit

Lucky 15 Tips Today

Today’s Lucky 15 from Joe Norris at GYTO pays 446/1 at the time of posting – a £1 Lucky 15 would return £1,112 from a £15 outlay. 

  • World Of Fortunes – Listowel 2.30
  • Kyber Crystal - Hamilton 2.42
  • King’s Castle - Plumpton 3.50
  • She’s Got Bottle - Hamilton 4.12

 

Listowel 2.30 World Of Fortunes (2/1)

Paggane has been frustrating and I think she wants more of a stamina test so this could go the way of the unexposed WORLD OF FORTUNES for trainer Liam Kenny. She won in good style at Wexford on hurdles debut and has plenty more to come after just four career starts to date. It wouldn’t surprise me to see her go off favourite.

Hamilton 2.42 Kyber Crystal (4/1)

I thought there was plenty to like about that win at Musselburgh last month from KYBER CRYSTAL and despite suffering defeat twice since she hasn’t been beaten far on either occasion. If this pans out favourably she might be the one finishing best. Jack Of Clubs looks the danger if building on that last run.

Plumpton 3.50 King’s Castle (5/2)

I know KING’S CASTLE was denied the five-timer at Perth last month but he was only beaten a neck so that was another big run. He is only 2lb higher here and given he remains quite lightly raced he might be able to serve it up to these and get back to winning ways. Carrigeen Kampala looks the danger if staying on her feet.

Hamilton 4.12 She’s Got Bottle (15/2)

I’m going to chance likeable mare SHE’S GOT BOTTLE building on that excellent second at Carlisle 11 days ago. I know she had the run of the race but it was still a big run and she was beaten just over a length. If she even repeats that I think it would see her bang there and she is a bit overpriced. Epidavros is her main danger once more.