Joe Norris from GYTO Thursday Stat Bet and Lucky 15 tips for today’s horse racing.
16:53 Pontefract
Bungle Inthejungle colt TOP JUGGLER impressed getting off the mark at Hamilton last month. He has improved with every run and now pitched into handicap company he could still have more to come. An opening mark of 79 could easily underestimate him and I think he is appealing at 9/2 in the betting especially given there are 8 runners.
BetMGM UK
The Quinn’s have done well with handicap debutants this year too producing a couple of winners and 8 running into a place from just 24 runners. The even money for this colt to hit the frame looks a really good bet and even the 9/2 each way seems the most obvious value in the race.
Top Juggler (1pt PLACE @ 1/1 3 places)
LATEST P&L FOR STAT BET +30.83 point profit
Lucky 15 Tips Today
Today’s Lucky 15 from Joe Norris at GYTO pays 65/1 at the time of posting – a £1 Lucky 15 would return £240 from a £15 outlay.
- Dripsey Moon – Perth 1.52
- Overture - Pontefract 3.10
- Baltic - Newmarket 4.30
- Molten Sea - Southwell 5.00
Perth 1.52 Dripsey Moon (6/4)
With just four rivals to beat this looks a great opportunity for DRIPSEY MOON to complete a C&D hat-trick. He made all in good style last month and then showed a good attitude to fight back and get on top where it mattered last time. His form is stacking up and with Brian Hughes in the saddle again everything points towards another big run. Watergrange Jack won at Worcester 10 days ago and despite a 7lb penalty looks the danger.
Pontefract 3.10 Overture (2/1)
New Approach filly OVERTURE made it four in a row just about prevailing at Yarmouth last week. She seemed in cruise control and probably just idled late on to win by only a neck at the line. The drop back to a mile and a quarter is a positive if anything and with the promise of more still to come I think she can win again. Mr Monaco impressed winning easily at Sandown and wasn’t disgraced at York so is the likely threat.
Newmarket 4.30 Baltic (5/2)
Frankel colt BALTIC is yet to taste defeat in handicaps making it five in a row at Newcastle when last seen back in July. He is 4lb higher back on turf but should still have more to come given his unexposed profile and with the yard going great guns he could extend the winning sequence. Fighter Command has been gelded since finishing a good second last month and might be the danger. Candyman Stan goes handicapping for the first time and is also feared.
Southwell 5.00 Molten Sea (6/4)
Too Darn Hot filly MOLTEN SEA made a winning handicap debut at Musselburgh 12 days ago showing a good attitude under pressure. She is 3lb higher here but I loved the way she hit the line the last day and I think she is only going to improve further. The front pair came well clear of the third and that is always encouraging. Miss Monte Carlo needs to break on terms and if she does she will be the danger. Altanera has quite a bit on but it is still early days for her too.
