Joe Norris from GYTO Monday Stat Bet and Lucky 15 tips for today’s horse racing.
16:40 Kempton
Blue Point colt GESUNDHEIT catches the eye now pitched into a nursery. He has been sent off 18/1, 9/1 and 100/1 so this has clearly been the plan with him and an opening mark of just 60 could easily prove to be lenient. Oisin Murphy is an eye-catching jockey booking and I can see him being a gamble on the day.
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Trainer Ed Walker has had a good year with handicap debutants saddling 8 winners and 17 placed efforts from just 41 runners so they are extremely profitable to follow.
Gesundheit (2pt 3 places @ 11/10)
LATEST P&L FOR STAT BET +15.58 point profit
Lucky 15 Tips Today
Today’s Lucky 15 from Joe Norris at GYTO pays 200/1 at the time of posting – a £1 Lucky 15 would return £570 from a £15 outlay.
- Skontonovski – Roscommon 3.05
- Come On You Spurs - Musselburgh 3.50
- Craven Bay - Hereford 4.00
- Thapa VC - Kempton 7.15
Roscommon 3.05 Skontonovski (3/1)
The consistent SKONTONOVSKI found himself back in the winners enclosure at Thurles last week sweeping home to win impressively by 5 and a half lengths. That form has already been given a boost with the sixth Church Mountain winning since so I expect him to have a big chance of following up despite a penalty. Superior Council was only beaten a length into third at Navan last week and looks the obvious danger.
Musselburgh 3.50 Come On You Spurs (7/2)
This should be a great chance for COME ON YOU SPURS to complete the hat-trick. She impressed winning at Sandown and then followed up with plenty to spare at Epsom last month. I think as long as the ground doesn’t dry out too much then she is the most likely winner and should be capable of defying a 6lb rise. Rockymountainway also arrives in winning form after scoring at Carlisle and is the danger.
Hereford 4.00 Craven Bay (9/4)
I can see CRAVEN BAY being well backed to follow up that Warwick win on debut for this yard last month. He stayed on strongly and did it readily in the end. He has gone up 4lb which looks perfectly fair and is expected to go in again. Honey I’m Good won at Stratford on penultimate start and then was a good second at Newton Abbot when last seen so looks the danger reverting back over hurdles. Wot You Wearing is also respected.
Kempton 7.15 Thapa VC (5/2)
That was a big run from THAPA VC to finish a close-up second over C&D when last seen. He came through horses quite takingly and found just the one rival too strong in the end. He clearly goes particularly well at this track and left off an unchanged mark looks the one to beat. Starshiba has also won over track and trip in the past and was a good second at Newcastle last time so if building on that again could easily be the main threat.
