Joe Norris from GYTO Saturday Stat Bet and Lucky 15 tips for today’s horse racing.
12:55 Ascot
The hat-trick might not have been landed by HELL HOUND at Fontwell last month but he still ran well in defeat to finish third. He catches the eye now sent handicapping and his opening mark may well underestimate him with the step back up in trip sure to suit. That win over Skyjack Hijack at Southwell on penultimate start over a similar trip has been strongly franked since and he should have more to come yet.
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When you dig into the stats his trainer Neil Mulholland does well with these types too saddling 4 winners and 9 placed efforts from just 30 handicap debutants this year so the 11/2 is worth snapping up as is the 6/4 to hit the frame (3 places). I think he’ll be well backed.
Hell Hound (1pt 3 places @ 6/4)
LATEST P&L FOR STAT BET +23.26 point profit
Lucky 15 Tips Today
Today’s Lucky 15 from Joe Norris at GYTO pays 135/1 at the time of posting – a £1 Lucky 15 would return £420 from a £15 outlay
- Lakota Blue – Down Royal 12.25
- Shoeshine Boy - Ayr 1.58
- Kateira - Wetherby 2.22
- Chianti Classico - Ascot 3.45
Down Royal 12.25 Lakota Blue (2/1)
Gordon Elliott had a great day at Down Royal on Friday and he’ll be hoping to get off to a flyer on Saturday with LAKOTA BLUE. This 3yo was snapped up by connections after winning a bumper at Corlay back in the summer. He has joined a top yard and sent straight over hurdles on debut under Rules he is expected to take a lot of beating. Prairie Angel won her sole start over hurdles so with experience looks the danger.
Ayr 1.58 Shoeshine Boy (3/1)
There might only be 6 runners heading to post but this is still competitive and I’m hopeful SHOESHINE BOY can win again. He prevailed by just a nose at Hexham last month but he showed a good attitude to hold on and the front pair came 15 lengths clear from the rest. He has actually won 3 of his last 5 now and is looking progressive. Faithfulflyer is likeable and bumped into The Navigator last time so looks the obvious danger.
Wetherby 2.22 Kateira (2/1)
Dan Skelton continues to go great guns and KATEIRA looks the one to side with on return. She was last seen beating Jango Baie at Aintree back in April and that is really good form. The latter is set to go over fences and looks a very nice horse. She has won fresh in the past and I’d argue she should be even shorter than 2/1. Sandor Clegane is back over hurdles and might emerge as the biggest danger to the selection.
Ascot 3.45 Chianti Classico (11/4)
I can’t wait to see CHIANTI CLASSICO back out for Kim Bailey. This horse relished the switch to chasing last season winning 3 of his first 4 starts in this sphere including an impressive performance to take the Ultima at the Cheltenham Festival. He was only fourth at Aintree but I’d forgive him that run and just like last season I think he’ll make a winning return here. Our Power is off a lenient mark and won this 2 years ago so might bounce back and be the danger.
