The market leader stands out as the strong favourite for Steve Ryder after a field of 10 was confirmed for Sunday's 1000 Guineas.
1000 Guineas 2025
Both Desert Flower for Godolphin and Lake Victoria - a three-time Group 1 winner for Aidan O'Brien and Coolmore - have been declared for Sunday's classic at Newmarket.
We have a confirmed field of 10 runners for the 1000 Guineas, with Desert Flower a short-priced favourite to give trainer Charlie Appleby a first win in the race.
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1000 Guineas Runners
Desert Flower (William Buick)
Undefeated in her four outings as a juvenile, with three victories at Newmarket (one on the Rowley Mile). She triumphed in the Group 2 May Hill Stakes at Doncaster, beating January by 1½ lengths, before emphatically confirming that form with a 5½-length win over the same rival in the Group 1 Fillies’ Mile over this course and distance. Her racecourse gallop at the Craven meeting impressed connections, making her the one to beat.
Lake Victoria (Ryan Moore)
Unbeaten in five races last season, including three Group 1 wins. She outran the reopposing Red Letter in a Curragh maiden before securing the Group 3 Sweet Solera Stakes over 7f at Newmarket’s July course. Demonstrating versatility, she won three Group 1 races over 7f, 6f, and a mile, including the Cheveley Park Stakes at this track in September. Despite a challenging start in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf, she powered home over a mile to win by 1½ lengths on her first try at the distance.
Red Letter (Colin Keane)
Narrowly beaten by a head by Lake Victoria on her Curragh debut, she then won convincingly by 4¼ lengths in her next outing. Sent off at 7/2 for the Group 1 Moyglare Stud Stakes, she faced a troubled passage, finishing fourth, 1½ lengths behind Lake Victoria. All her races have been over 7f at the Curragh on good ground, raising slight concerns about her adaptability to this track.
Chantilly Lace (Rossa Ryan)
Won as the favourite on heavy ground in a Salisbury novice race in October, her sole juvenile start. She comfortably beat an 88-rated rival by 1½ lengths, but faster ground could pose a challenge for this Lope De Vega filly.
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Flight (Oisin Murphy)
A consistent filly, placing in all five starts last season. She was second on debut at Newbury and again behind Desert Flower on Newmarket’s July course. She won a Sandown maiden as the favourite before finishing behind Desert Flower and Merrily in group races on her subsequent outings.
Remaat (Jason Watson)
Progressed with each start, culminating in a dominant 4½-length win at Newmarket’s July course last season. She finished third in the Group 3 Nell Gwyn Stakes on her return, earning an adjusted rating of 101.
Simmering (Dylan Browne McMonagle)
A beaten favourite on debut, finishing third at York, she was then second, just ¾ length behind Fairy Godmother, in the Group 3 Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot. She won the Group 3 Princess Margaret Stakes next time out and later secured a Group 2 in France over 7f on soft ground. She was second, 1¼ lengths behind Lake Victoria, in the Group 1 Moyglare Stud Stakes but disappointed with a seventh-place finish in the Fred Darling Stakes at Newbury, raising concerns.
Elwateen (Jim Crowley)
A well-supported debut winner for Saeed Bin Suroor at Kempton in August. Her trainer won this race in 2023 with Mawj.
Hey Boo (George Bass)
Won her first two starts at Chelmsford on the all-weather this year before exceeding expectations at 40/1 to finish second in the Group 3 Fred Darling Stakes at Newbury. She earned an adjusted rating of 101 for that effort.
Duty First (Hollie Doyle)
Finished behind Desert Flower on their debuts at Newmarket’s July course before winning a novice race at Ayr in August. She placed in group races on her next two starts and delivered a career-best performance to win the Group 3 Fred Darling Stakes at Newbury at 33/1 on her return.
1000 Guineas Winners, Trends & Stats
The last favourite to win this race was Minding in 2016, with only one winner since then starting at less than 9/1. The biggest-priced winner was Billesdon Brook in 2018 at 66/1, while last year’s winner, Elmalka, returned at 28/1.
- 17 of the previous 23 winners had won a group race prior to this race
- 16 of the previous 23 winners had won just two or three races in their career before
- 15 of the previous 23 winners had yet to win a race over a mile
- 13 of the previous 23 winners won their previous race
- 13 of the previous 23 winners had raced at Newmarket before
- 10 of the previous 23 winners had raced at Newmarket on their previous start
1000 Guineas Tips
Despite favourites struggling in recent years, and with uncertainty over Lake Victoria’s fitness, DESERT FLOWER (advised at 6/5) stands out as a strong market leader. The Godolphin filly won her first two races at Newmarket’s July course before delivering an impressive victory in the Group 1 Fillies’ Mile over this course and distance on her final start last season.
Charlie Appleby brought Desert Flower back to this track for a racecourse gallop at the Craven meeting, where she pulled clear of her stablemate, showing her affinity for the course’s dip. She may briefly lose momentum 3f out, but her strong finishing kick should see her through. Trained all season with this race in mind, she is poised to give Charlie Appleby and William Buick their first win in this event, and I expect her to live up to her short odds.
