UK Horse Racing Tips: Southwell

Papa Don't Preach is capable at this level but can be a tricky ride and isn't one for maximum faith. Neither is Nelson Gay, who also boasts more placed efforts than career wins and isn't one for the faint-hearted. However, it's possible that the competitively-weighted DANDY FITZ can build on an improved effort when third at Newcastle last time. He shades the nomination with a speculative vote. Arlington is also feared but faces competition for the lead and might struggle to supplement his last-time-out C&D win.
Prediction : 1st Dandy Fitz 2nd Papa Dont Preach 3rd Nelson Gay

Fiery Damsel took a step forward from her debut effort to get off the mark at Kempton last month and holds an obvious chance. However, she might find it tough to give her penalty away to BINTOLA. Harry Charlton's juvenile produced an improved display when occupying the runner-up berth at the same venue latest and, with normal improvement, she will prove hard to beat. Any market confidence behind newcomer Cryingintherain would be interesting.
Prediction : 1st Bintola 2nd Fiery Damsel 3rd Cryingintherain

LIVE EACH DAY made her way through the field to score by just under two lengths at Kempton latest and is just 5lb higher. Considering the manner of that success, the daughter of Persian King looks the one to beat. Ghaiyyath Park makes some appeal on her first start for the James Tate stable after showing a fair amount of ability in Germany, while Mamma Maria is another to keep an eye on.
Prediction : 1st Live Each Day 2nd Ghaiyyath Park 3rd Mamma Maria

Al Durry has finished thereabouts on both starts so far, including when second over this trip at Chelmsford in May, and she is likely to be on the premises. However, QUAMBY only found subsequent Listed scorer Victoria Harbour too good on her sole outing this year and could have more to offer. David Simcock's filly sets the standard with an official rating of 81 and is tough to oppose. Too Farhh Gone can fight it out for the minor honours.
Prediction : 1st Quamby 2nd Al Durry 3rd Too Farhh Gone

KNICKERBOCKER battled on gamely but was just touched off into second behind Saytarr on handicap debut at Kempton last month and the assessor may have been kind to only put her up 2lb. With the likelihood of more to come, she could turn the tables on that rival. Alessia Fernanda outran her odds of 40-1 to finish fourth over C&D at the start of the month and has dropped to an appealing mark.
Prediction : 1st Knickerbocker 2nd Alessia Fernanda 3rd Saytarr

The one who appeals most is the Edward Bethell-trained COUNTING CARDS. The son of Territories has been gelded/undergone a wind operation since last September and now makes his handicap debut up in distance. Coeur Jaune has struck twice on the turf this season and, if transferring that form to the all-weather, she could have a say. Tokyo Joe is unexposed over this trip and might also get involved.
Prediction : 1st Counting Cards 2nd Coeur Jaune 3rd Tokyo Joe

Two-time C&D winner NAZUKI made the frame over 7f at Doncaster in August and was kindly dropped 1lb. The booking of Jamie Spencer is noteworthy and the daughter of Earthlight could put these to the sword. Valley Ofthe Kings shed his maiden tag in first-time blinkers at Wolverhampton earlier this month and commands respect back in a handicap. Of the remainder, Hoodie Hoo makes the most appeal after his second at Nottingham.
Prediction : 1st Nazuki 2nd Valley Ofthe Kings 3rd Hoodie Hoo

SAVVY STELLAR sprang a bit of a surprise when beating the well-fancied Night Tara over track and trip last time, but there didn't seem to be any fluke about the manner of that triumph. He only has a 2lb higher rating to contend with and it would be no surprise to see him go in again. Moab comfortably struck by four lengths over 1m6f here on his most recent outing and is expected to mount a bold bid. Advertorial completes the shortlist.
Prediction : 1st Savvy Stellar 2nd Moab 3rd Advertorial

Always A Star rarely runs a bad race and, despite failing to justify favouritism when third here last month, he is one to take seriously. However, LUDO'S LANDING looks the one to side with. Charlie Johnston's five-year-old failed to fire when last of five at Ripon in July, but the softer conditions may have been against him that day. With a previous all-weather success to his name, he gets the vote. Timeless Charm also has a chance.
Prediction : 1st Ludos Landing 2nd Always A Star 3rd Timeless Charm