Aidan O'Hara picks out his best bet for Tuesday's Melbourne Cup at Flemington.
TIP 1: KIZLYAR – 2 points each-way (five places)
Best odds of 40/1 at bet365, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Star Sports, PricedUp, QuinnBet and AK Bets while publishing.
Also advised: 2 points in total on Tricasts and 1-2-3-4 Quads on all of Joseph O'Brien's runners.
I've had a good look at this race and I think that the local horses are overrated. I also think the favourite Point Of Law is being overestimated, particularly on his UK form, and this has led me to think this race could well be dominated by Joseph O'Brien's horses.
My main bet is going to be KIZLYAR, as I think his form before coming here is top class. He beat Defiantly, who was favourite for this until he was scratched, and then ran an eye-catching race behind Group 1 winner Queenstown after a break. He went too slow in the Moonee Valley Gold Cup, when it turned out they didn't need to run.
That run could well put him at 100% for this, and I actually have him as one of the more likely winners. I would price him up at about 16/1, so we will be having a bet at up to 40/1.
I'm also suggesting doing Tricasts and 1-2-3-4 Quad bets on all of Joseph's horses. They are all going into this in form, with a weaker than average field, and the stable knows what's required here. I can't rule out any of them, but James J Braddock could well be a different class, and both JPs are what's needed for this race.
I'll have another small each-way bet when prices settle later on today.
