Daryl Carter has all the key stats and trends for the RSA Chase.
The RSA is run on the second day of the festival for Novice Chasers over a distance of 3m. The race is usually run at speed and is a stern test of stamina, proving to be a reliable stepping stone onto the Gold Cup. In the past 10 years, Lord Windermere is the only horse who followed up with victory in the Gold Cup directly after this race winning at back-to-back Festivals. Nicky Henderson is the leading trainer with two victories in the past ten years.
Short and sweet but stacked with valuable information, below I have highlighted some ten year stats and trends that any savvy punter looking to make it pay at the Cheltenham Festival in 2020 will want on their side.
The 2019 edition was won by Topofthegame from the Paul Nicholls stable who endured a thrilling battle up the Cheltenham Hill with Santini and Delta Work.
Topofthegame wins the RSA Insurance Chase at @CheltenhamRaces!
— ITV Racing (@itvracing) March 13, 2019
It's a first grade one here for @PFNicholls since 2015!
Watch the #CheltenhamFestival LIVE on @ITV pic.twitter.com/hEX2PzvVEN
Past Winners:
|
YEAR |
WINNER |
AGE |
WGT |
SP |
TRAINER |
JOCKEY |
RPR |
|
2019 |
Topofthegame |
7 |
11-4 |
4/1 |
Paul Nicholls |
Harry Cobden |
167 |
|
2018 |
Presenting Percy |
7 |
11-4 |
5/2F |
Patrick G Kelly |
Davy Russell |
172 |
|
2017 |
Might Bite |
8 |
11-4 |
7/2F |
Nicky Henderson |
Nico de Boinville |
173 |
|
2016 |
Blaklion |
7 |
11-4 |
8/1 |
Nigel Twiston-Davies |
Ryan Hatch |
162 |
|
2015 |
Don Poli |
6 |
11-4 |
13/8F |
W P Mullins |
B J Cooper |
166 |
|
2014 |
O'Faolains Boy |
7 |
11-4 |
12/1 |
Rebecca Curtis |
Barry Geraghty |
163 |
|
2013 |
Lord Windermere |
7 |
11-4 |
8/1 |
J H Culloty |
Davy Russell |
157 |
|
2012 |
Bobs Worth |
7 |
11-4 |
9/2 |
Nicky Henderson |
Barry Geraghty |
167 |
|
2011 |
Bostons Angel |
7 |
11-4 |
16/1 |
Mrs John Harrington |
Robbie Power |
155 |
|
2010 |
Weapon's Amnesty |
7 |
11-4 |
10/1 |
C Byrnes |
Davy Russell |
165 |
At a glance- 10 year trends
Age Counts:
7yo’s have dominated the race in recent years winning 8/10. Might Bite is the only 8yo to win the race and Don Poli the only 6yo.
Price matters:
Favourites have been successful only three times in the past ten years and that includes the 8yo and 6yo who bucked the age trend. The average SP is 9/1.
Britain or Ireland?
The head to head brings both Britain and Ireland out evenly with both winning the race five times each in the past ten years. British dominance is starting to show in the race winning four of the last six renewals.
Recent run:
The average trip of previous winners is 22f or 2m6f. No winner has run over further than 3m on any recent start and no horse has run over less than 2m4f.
Official Rating:
An average official rating of 151 is needed to win the race but in recent years horses rated in the mid to high 150’s have taken the crown. Presenting Percy was the highest rated winner with an official rating of 158. Last years contest was fought out by three horses all rated within 2lbs of each other between 153 and 155.
A winner last time out:
Only half of the winning field had won on their most recent start. Topofthegame, Presenting Percy, Black Lion, O’Faolains Boy and Bobs Worth were all beaten before landing this race.
Course form:
9/10 winners had previously run at the course with 6/10 having won at Cheltenham before.
In-depth stat analysis:
Below I have highlighted a range of stat figures based on the past 10 winners of the race. Some hold serious in-depth information. The below table highlights the average, maximum and minimum on a range of subjects including age, starting price, trip last time out, official ratings, Racing Post Ratings, top speed figures and trip (distance run prior). Course form has been added along with recent runs of the past 10 winners.
|
Top Age |
7yo (8) |
|
Top Jockey |
Davy Russell (3) |
|
Top Trainer |
Nicky Henderson (2) |
|
Course Raced at LTO |
Leopardstown (4) |
|
|
|
|
Average Age |
7 |
|
Max Age |
8 |
|
Min Age |
6 |
|
|
|
|
Average SP |
8.01 |
|
Max SP |
17 |
|
Min SP |
2.63 |
|
|
|
|
Average Trip LTO (f) |
22.7 |
|
Max Trip LTO (f) |
24 |
|
Min Trip LTO (f) |
20 |
|
|
|
|
Average OR |
151 |
|
Max OR |
158 |
|
Min OR |
144 |
|
|
|
|
Average RPR |
157.9 |
|
Max RPR |
165 |
|
Min RPR |
150 |
|
|
|
|
Average TS |
123 |
|
Max TS |
155 |
|
Min TS |
102 |
|
|
|
|
Average Max Trip (f) |
19.3 |
|
Max Max Trip (f) |
20 |
|
Min Max Trip (f) |
16 |
|
|
|
|
Average Min Trip (f) |
24.35 |
|
Max Min Trip (f) |
29 |
|
Min Min Trip (f) |
21 |
|
|
|
|
Had Run at Course |
9/10 |
|
Had Won at Course |
6/10 |
|
Had Won LTO |
5/10 |
|
Unbeaten at Course |
4/9 |
|
Unbeaten that Season |
1/10 |
|
Won More Than Once That Season |
5/10 |
|
|
|
|
Had Run in Last 3 Weeks |
0/10 |
|
Had Run in Last 4 Weeks |
3/10 |
|
Had Run in Last 5 Weeks |
6/10 |
|
Had Run in Last 6 Weeks |
8/10 |
|
Had Run in Last 7 Weeks |
8/10 |
|
Had Run in Last 8 Weeks |
8/10 |
What to look for
• A 7yo
• SP odds of 9/1 or shorter
• Has run over no further than 3m
• Official Rating of 151 +
• Has hit a Racing Post Rating of 157+
• Has run at the course
• Has run in the past 6, 7 or 8 weeks
Get more insight and previews for the Festival on our Cheltenham tips page.
Just 15 days to go until Cheltenham!
— Oddschecker Racing (@OddsRacing) February 24, 2020
For essential Cheltenham tips, previews and news, visit our Cheltenham Hub.https://t.co/IYlH12XmhQ
*Below are a selection of links to help you navigate around all of our Horse Racing Tips content:
