Stayers' Hurdle - 10 year Stats and Trends

The Stayers’ Hurdle is run on the third day of the Cheltenham Festival and is the feature event of Thursday. This race over the years has produced sensational horses that have gone on to achieve multiple successes in this race. In the past 10 year’s Paul Nicholls has been the most successful trainer courtesy of the superstar, Big Buck's, who won this race three consecutive times in 2010, 2011, and 2012. Willie Mullins has landed the prize twice in the last three years with Penhill and Nichols Canyon but it is Paisley Park that all eyes will be drawn to in 2020.

Short and sweet but below I have highlighted some ten year stats and trends that any savvy punter looking to make it pay at the Cheltenham Festival in 2020 will want on their side.

The 2019 running saw a new star emerge in the shape of Paisley Park and the well supported winning favourite was arguably the story of the Cheltenham Festival.

WHAT A STORY!

He nearly died two years ago but now Paisley Park has won the Sun Racing Stayers' Hurdle at @CheltenhamRaces!!!

The magic of the Festival strikes again

Watch the #CheltenhamFestival LIVE on @ITV pic.twitter.com/pOY64K8E0u

— ITV Racing (@itvracing) March 14, 2019

Past Winners:

 

At a glance- 10 year trends 

Age Counts:

Or it doesn’t in this race, 7yo’s have the best recent record in the race winning 4/10 and 3 of the last 3 races. 6yo’s, 9yo’s and 8yo’s come out second best all winning twice each in a race where quality comes over age.

Price matters: 

5 favourites have won the past 10 renewals of the race with an average SP of 7/1. Horses saddling double figure odds have won three times in what is usually a wide open race if there is no strong short priced favourite.

Britain or Ireland?

Britain has come out on top over their counterparts with 7-3. Willie Mullins has won 2/10 with Penhill and Nichols Canyon both going off at double figure odds. 

No Irish SP favourite has won the race in the last 10 years and no Irish horse has won the race with odds lower than the average SP of 7/1.  

Recent run:

5 of the last 10 winners had raced at Cheltenham prior to this race.

Official Rating:

The average official rating of the winner is 164. 

Penhill, was the lowest rated horse to win the race in the past 10 years with an official rating of 153. 

Three time winner Big Buck's was rated 174. 

A winner last time out:

7/10 winners won last time out before Cheltenham.

Course form:

10/10 had run at Cheltenham previous to this race and 7/10 had course winning form.

In-depth stat analysis (in partnership with Dave Young) 

Below I have highlighted a range of stat figures based on the past 10 winners of the race. Some hold serious in-depth information. The below table highlights the average, maximum and minimum on a range of subjects including age, starting price, trip last time out, official ratings, Racing Post Ratings, top speed figures and trip (distance run prior). Course form has been added along with recent runs of the past 10 winners.

Top Age	7yo (4)
Top Jockey	Ruby Walsh (4)
Top Trainer	Paul Nichols (3)
Course Raced at LTO	Cheltenham (5)
Average Age	7.4
Max Age	9
Min Age	6
Average SP	6.69
Max SP	15
Min SP	1.83
Average Trip LTO (f)	22.5
Max Trip LTO (f)	24.5
Min Trip LTO (f)	16
Average OR	164.4
Max OR	174
Min OR	153
Average RPR	165.7
Max RPR	172
Min RPR	157
Average TS	136.9
Max TS	154
Min TS	118
Average Max Trip (f)	21.28
Max Max Trip (f)	24.5
Min Max Trip (f)	16
Average Min Trip (f)	22.72
Max Min Trip (f)	25.5
Min Min Trip (f)	16
Had Run at Course	10/10
Had Won at Course	7/10
Had Won LTO	7/10
Unbeaten at Course	2/10
Unbeaten that Season	6/9
Won More Than Once That Season	6/10
Had Run in Last 3 Weeks	0/10
Had Run in Last 4 Weeks	0/10
Had Run in Last 5 Weeks	0/10
Had Run in Last 6 Weeks	0/10
Had Run in Last 7 Weeks	5/10
Had Run in Last 8 Weeks	6/10

What to look out for

• SP odds of 7/1 or shorter
• An official rating of 164+
• Has previous course experience
• Has winning course form
• Has won last time out
• Unbeaten that season
• Won more than once that season
• Has run in the last 7 or 8 weeks but no less than 7

*Below are a selection of links to help you navigate around all of our Horse Racing Tips content:

Horse Racing Tips	Cheltenham Tips
Grand National Tips	Ascot Tips

With Cheltenham just four days away, bookmakers are being extra generous with their offers.

We have compiled all the best offers in one place so you can get the most out of the #CheltenhamFestival. https://t.co/N6NHo3rXoE

— Oddschecker (@Oddschecker) March 6, 2020