New Zealand and Tonga have only ever played each other four times in their history and three of those encounters were during World Cups. New Zealand unsurprisingly having won all four encounters. Tonight at St James’s Park is unlikely to bring about a different result.

Tier two nations have put up some great performances during this World Cup. Where Tonga will look to make their presences felt in in the scrum. Tonga scrummed well against Argentina (probably better than the All Blacks did), so they will look to control and slow down the ball from here. But from the line out and down the back line they will really have their work cut out and good organisation and passionate defence will be heavily needed to keep Tonga in the game.

With the exception of Julian Savea the All Blacks have probably selected their strongest back line, with Maa Nonu returning for his 100 cap. At 11/8 is a good value bet for an anytime try scorer.

Tonga have scored eight tries so far in this World Cup and New Zealand are yet to get away without a team scoring against them. Leading that charge for Tonga is Jack Ram who is benched for this evening game, but Wingers Fetu’u Vainikolo and Telusa Veainu both start and with two tries a piece already either is a good value bet at 6/1.

If Tonga can hold their lines and defend well, keeping New Zealand within the handicap of 42 points is of real interest at even money.

Ma’a Nonu Anytime try scorer - 1pt @ 11/8
Fetu’u Vainikolo Anytime try scorer - 0.5pts @ 6/1
Tonga (+42) - 1pt @ 1/1