England head to Rome on Saturday looking to steady themselves after back‑to‑back defeats, while Italy aim to turn their improved form into a historic first-ever win in this fixture.
England vs Italy
Match Facts
Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Kick Off Time: 16:40, Saturday 7th March
Tournament: Six Nations
Where to Watch (UK): ITV1 & ITVX
Italy and England meet at the Stadio Olimpico with both sides carrying very different kinds of pressure into the penultimate weekend. Italy have shown real defensive steel this year and look far more competitive than in recent seasons, but their attack remains the least productive in the Championship. England, meanwhile, arrive on the back of two bruising defeats and badly need a response to avoid being dragged into the lower end of the table. With Italy chasing a rare top‑four finish and England fighting to restore some credibility, it’s a fixture loaded with jeopardy for both teams.
In this article, we look at the latest odds for Saturday's match, the most popular bets placed on Oddschecker for the match and give our match prediction.
Who are the favourites to win in Italy vs England?
| Team | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Italy | 11/4 | Paddy Power |
| Draw | 30/1 | bet365 |
| England | 2/5 | AKBets |
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Italy vs England Match Prediction
England arrive in Rome under pressure, but even in their current slump they retain several decisive advantages that make them favourites to edge this one. Italy have defended bravely throughout the Championship - conceding fewer points than everyone except France and Scotland - but their attacking output remains the weakest in the competition. No side has scored fewer tries, and that lack of cutting edge becomes a major hurdle against an England team that, despite recent defeats, still carries far more firepower across the park.
History also weighs heavily. England have never lost to Italy, winning all previous meetings, and they’ve claimed victory on their last 13 visits to Rome. Even in difficult years, the Stadio Olimpico has been a reliable fixture for them. Italy, meanwhile, haven’t finished as high as fourth since 2013, and to leapfrog England they would need to break that long-standing record.
England’s selection shake‑up should also inject urgency. Ben Spencer and Fin Smith give the backline a sharper, more controlled axis, while the return of Jamie George and the inclusion of Guy Pepper add bite to the pack. Italy’s continuity up front is admirable, but their multiple backline changes - including a new full-back and scrum-half - suggest a side still searching for fluency.
England have looked flat in their last two outings, but both defeats came against top-tier opposition. Italy are far improved, but still lack the depth and precision to punish England the way Scotland and Ireland did. If Borthwick’s side simply tighten their discipline and start with more intent, their superior physicality and finishing should tell.
Prediction: England by a narrow margin. around 2–5 points.
Italy vs England Most Popular Bets
These are the five most popular bets placed on Italy vs England this week on Oddschecker:
Italy to win - best price 11/4 with Sky/Paddy
Louis Lynagh anytime try scorer - Best price 8/5 with Boyle Sport
Seb Atkinson anytime try scorer - Best price 7/2 with BetMGM
Louis Lynagh First try scorer - Best price 14/1 with Boyle Sport
Henry Pollock anytime try scorer - Best price 2/1 with William Hill
Italy vs England Betting Tips
Louis Lynagh anytime try scorer
Advised Stake: 1 pt
Best price: 8/5
Henry Pollock anytime try scorer
Advised Stake: 1pt
Best price 2/1
