Check out our five anytime touchdown betting tips for the NFL Week 12 Sunday action.
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
Tip 1: Bijan Robinson - Anytime Touchdown vs New Orleans Saints - 1.5pts
Bijan Robinson’s touchdown equity is driven by his role as the Falcons’ lead back and primary short-yardage option.
He consistently sees high snap share and the majority of goal-line carries, even in passing-heavy scripts.
The Saints’ run defense has been league-average against interior runs, providing exploitable lanes in short-yardage situations.
Falcons’ offensive philosophy favors downhill rushing near the red zone, ensuring Bijan remains the focal point for scoring opportunities.
His volume, role, and scheme alignment make him the top Falcon option for an anytime touchdown.
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 74%, so the odds of 4/6 with Sky Bet when publishing gives us a Positive EV of 24% on this play.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Arizona Cardinals
Tip 2: Travis Etienne - Anytime Touchdown vs Arizona Cardinals - 1.5pts
Etienne maintains a high-touch floor with significant red-zone involvement, receiving both carries and short check-down targets inside the 20.
The Cardinals have struggled to contain interior runs and goal-line efficiency recently, which favors a workhorse back like Etienne.
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Jacksonville’s balanced offensive script and two-back rotation ensures he sees enough opportunities even if passing volume increases.
His versatility in short-yardage and passing situations enhances his likelihood of finding the end zone.
Etienne’s combination of volume, situational usage, and matchup makes him a reliable TD candidate.
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 65%, so the odds of 17/20 with William Hill when publishing gives us a Positive EV of 22% on this play.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys
Tip 3: Jake Ferguson - Anytime Touchdown vs Philadelphia Eagles - 1pt
Jake Ferguson benefits from Dallas’ use of play-action and seam routes in the red zone, where tight ends frequently draw mismatches.
He runs a high percentage of red-zone snaps and is often the designated target on play-action sets inside the 10-yard line.
The Eagles’ defense has shown susceptibility to seam and intermediate TE routes, especially when overcommitting to outside receivers.
Ferguson’s consistent target share and favorable coverage matchup translate directly into a strong touchdown probability.
His usage profile and scheme fit position him as the clear Dallas red-zone scoring option.
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 41%, so the odds of 9/4 with Sky Bet when publishing gives us a Positive EV of 33% on this play.
NFL Touchdown Double:
Bijan Robinson and Travis Etienne to score a touchdown. 1.6/1 generally when publishing. 1pt stake advised.
