We've picked out 3 bets from our Positive Expected Value Tool for Saturday's NFL Playoff clash between the Rams & Panthers.
Los Angeles Rams @ Carolina Panthers
How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?
When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.
Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.
Shown below are our three best bets from the Positive Expected Value tool for Satuday's NFL Playoff clash between the Los Angeles Rams and the Carolina Panthers.
Tip 1: Puka Nacua Anytime Touchdown — 10/11
Suggested stake: 1pt
Puka Nacua remains one of the most reliable touchdown threats in the NFL after leading the league in receptions and finishing the regular season with double-digit receiving scores. The Rams’ offence continues to funnel high-leverage targets through Nacua, particularly in the red zone, where his route-running and contested-catch ability make him a primary option. Even in the earlier meeting with Carolina, Nacua was heavily involved and consistently moved the chains despite not scoring. With Los Angeles boasting a strong red-zone touchdown rate and playoff football often leaning on trusted stars, Nacua’s volume gives him multiple paths to finding the end zone in this Wild Card matchup.
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 74%, so the odds of 23/25 with BetMGM gives us a Positive EV of 44% on this play.
Key stats
129 receptions in the regular season
10 receiving touchdowns
Targeted regularly inside the red zone
Rams ranked among the NFL’s top red-zone offences
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Tip 2: Colby Parkinson Over 19.5 Receiving Yards — 10/11
Suggested stake: 1pt
Colby Parkinson has quietly become a reliable part of the Rams’ passing attack and has consistently beaten modest yardage lines this season. The tight end cleared this number in the regular-season meeting with Carolina and has gone over similar marks in the majority of his recent outings. The Panthers have struggled to limit tight ends, ranking among the league’s more generous defences for TE receiving yards allowed. In a playoff environment where play-action and short-to-intermediate throws are prioritised, Parkinson’s role gives him a strong floor to surpass 20 yards.
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 66%, so the odds of 10/11 with bet365 gives us a Positive EV of 26% on this play.
Key stats
Over 400 receiving yards this season
Cleared 19.5 yards in the previous H2H
Panthers allow top-10 TE receiving yardage
Regular involvement on early downs and play-action
Tip 3: Rico Dowdle Over 13.5 Receiving Yards — 10/11
Suggested stake: 1pt
Rico Dowdle has proven to be a dependable receiving option out of the backfield, averaging more than this line across the regular season. He cleared 13.5 receiving yards in the Week 13 clash with the Rams and should again benefit from check-downs and short passes under playoff pressure. Los Angeles have allowed significant receiving production to running backs this year, particularly in space and on broken plays. If Carolina find themselves chasing the game, Dowdle’s passing-game usage makes this a sensible and low-threshold prop.
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 64%, so the odds of 10/11 with bet365 gives us a Positive EV of 23% on this play.
Key stats
Nearly 300 receiving yards this season
Cleared the line in the previous meeting
Rams concede heavy RB receiving production
Game script likely to favour RB targets
Rams @ Panthers Bet Builder Tip - 0.5pts Advised Stake
Puka Nucua - Anytime TD
Colby Parkinson - Over 19.5 Receiving Yards
Rico Dowdle - Over 13.5 Receiving Yards
The bet builder pays a best price of 5.75/1 with bet365 at the time of publishing.
