Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks

How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Shown below are our three best bets from the Positive Expected Value tool for Sunday's AFC Championship match between the Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks.

Tyler Higbee Over 1.5 Receptions — 5/6

Suggested stake: 1pt

Tyler Higbee only needs two catches to land this, and that’s a threshold he’s cleared comfortably whenever he’s been active and integrated into the Rams’ game plan. Higbee has recorded 2+ receptions in eight of his last nine games and continues to play a reliable underneath role that becomes even more important in playoff football. Against Seattle, the Rams have consistently used tight ends as safety valves versus zone coverage, particularly on early downs and third-and-medium. At 5/6 (~54.5% implied) versus a 75% Oddschecker AI probability, this looks like a strong floor play built on role rather than game script.

Key stats

Cleared 1.5 receptions in 8 of last 9 games
Regular snap share in two-Tight End and play-action looks
Seahawks concede steady short-area Tight End volume

Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown — 11/8

Suggested stake: 0.75pt

Kyren Williams remains the Rams’ primary finisher near the goal line, leading the team in red-zone rushing attempts and scoring 12 total touchdowns across the regular season and playoffs. He’s already found the end zone against Seattle this year and continues to dominate backfield usage, rarely leaving the field in high-leverage situations. Conference Championship games often tighten in the red zone, increasing reliance on trusted runners rather than gadget plays.

Key stats

12 total TDs this season
Lead back for red-zone and goal-line carries
Scored vs Seahawks earlier this season

Over 44.5 Total Points — 4/5

Suggested stake: 1pt

This matchup profiles as one of the higher-scoring games of the postseason, with both teams ranking top-10 in points per drive and playing at an above-average pace when games remain competitive. The Rams and Seahawks have combined for 47+ points in four of their last six meetings, including two shootouts in Seattle. Both offences are built to attack different areas of the field — Los Angeles through sustained drives, Seattle through explosive plays — which reduces the chance of long scoring droughts.

Key stats

4 of last 6 H2Hs cleared 44.5 points
Both teams top-10 in offensive efficiency
Indoor-style pace despite outdoor venue