Junior Caminero Home Run Derby Odds: Stats, Props, HR Derby History
Junior Caminero returns to the Home Run Derby after finishing runner-up last year, and he enters Philadelphia as one of the top threats to Kyle Schwarber. The Rays slugger has the raw power, exit velocity profile and recent Derby experience to make another deep run.
Peter Alexis - July 13, 2026, 3:27 PM EDT
3 Minute ReadJunior Caminero Home Run Derby Odds: Can Caminero Bounce Back After Falling Short as 2025 Runner-Up?
Junior Caminero competes in the 2026 Home Run Derby on Monday, July 13, at 8 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park. The Tampa Bay Rays third baseman enters with 27 home runs this season and is back after reaching the final of last year’s Derby.
Caminero’s 2025 Derby run matters because he already proved he can handle the format and the stage. He hit 21 home runs in Round 1 last year, reached the final and showed some of the loudest raw power in the event.
MLB Home Run Derby Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Monday, July 13, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Where to Watch: Netflix
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Junior Caminero Home Run Derby Odds Breakdown
Junior Caminero Winner Odds (+425) Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Caminero is +425 to win the Derby, making him the second choice behind Schwarber. That price reflects both his regular-season production and his runner-up finish last year, when he came close to giving the Rays their first Derby champion.
Round 1 Total Homers (Over 9.5 -125 / Under 9.5 +105)
Caminero’s Round 1 total is set at 9.5, with the over juiced to -125. He is also +500 to hit the most home runs in Round 1. After blasting 21 in the first round last year, the market is clearly respecting his ability to get hot immediately.
Highest Exit Velocity HR Odds (+250)
Caminero is the favorite to hit the highest exit velocity home run at +250. That may be his strongest specialty market because his hardest contact jumps off the bat differently than almost anyone else in the field. If the Derby turns into a raw power showcase, Caminero is the natural top option.
Longest Home Run Odds (+300)
Caminero is also favored to hit the longest home run of the Derby at +300. He crushed a 475-foot homer in last year’s Round 1 and consistently showed the kind of distance ceiling that plays in this market. His combination of bat speed and leverage gives him the best long-ball profile in the field.
Make The Semifinals (-185)
Caminero is -185 to make the semifinals, second only to Schwarber. He does not need to win Round 1 to stay alive, and last year’s performance showed that his power translates immediately to the Derby stage.
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