Kyle Schwarber Home Run Derby Odds: Stats, Props, HR Derby History
Kyle Schwarber enters the 2026 Home Run Derby as the favorite in front of the Philadelphia crowd at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies slugger leads the field in season home runs and carries the strongest combination of current power, Derby experience and home-park familiarity.
Peter Alexis - July 13, 2026, 2:45 PM EDT
3 Minute ReadKyle Schwarber Home Run Derby Odds: Will Schwarber Cruise to Semifinals in Front of Home Crowd?
Kyle Schwarber headlines the 2026 Home Run Derby on Monday, July 13, at 8 PM ET in Philadelphia. The Phillies designated hitter enters with 32 home runs this season, the most in the field, and gets the added boost of swinging in front of the Citizens Bank Park crowd.
This is Schwarber’s third career Home Run Derby appearance. He finished runner-up to Bryce Harper in 2018 and returned in 2022, but this year gives him his best setup yet as the hometown favorite.
MLB Home Run Derby Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Monday, July 13, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Where to Watch: Netflix
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Kyle Schwarber Home Run Derby Odds Breakdown
Kyle Schwarber Winner Odds (+300) Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Schwarber is the favorite to win the Derby at +300. The price makes sense because he has the best regular-season home run total in the field, a swing built for pull-side lift and the advantage of knowing the dimensions, sightlines and atmosphere in Philadelphia.
Kyle Schwarber Round 1 Total Homers (Over 10.5 -110 / Under 10.5 -110)
Schwarber’s Round 1 total is set at 10.5 home runs, with both sides priced at -110. He is also +340 to hit the most home runs in Round 1, the shortest price on the board in that market. With the first round now built around 20 swings instead of a clock, Schwarber’s ability to repeat his launch window should matter more than pure pace.
Kyle Schwarber to Have Highest Exit Velocity HR Odds (+600)
Schwarber is +600 to hit the highest exit velocity home run of the Derby. That number is longer than Junior Caminero, Jordan Walker and Jac Caglianone, which reflects the market separating Schwarber’s volume power from the biggest raw exit-velocity bats in the field.
Kyle Schwarber to Have Longest Home Run Odds (+370)
Schwarber is +370 to hit the longest home run of the Derby. His longest homer this season traveled 460 feet, and while his prior Derby experience gives him a rhythm edge, this market is more about peak distance than total home runs. He can win it, but Caminero and Caglianone are priced shorter for a reason.
Kyle Schwarber to Make The Semifinals (-210)
Schwarber is -210 to make the semifinals, the strongest semifinal price in the field. He only needs to finish in the top four of Round 1 to advance, and his combination of power, crowd energy and experience gives him the safest floor on the board.
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