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NBA Rookie of the Year Odds: Paolo Banchero The Runaway Favorite Among Bettors to Win Award

The NBA season starts on Tuesday and there's no better time than now to start looking at the NBA Rookie of the Year odds. Jon Conahan breaks down the top NBA Rookie of the Year odds and adds insight into the players the public is backing.
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NBA Rookie of the Year Odds: Paolo Banchero The Runaway Favorite Among Bettors to Win Award

The 2022 NBA Draft was one of the better draft classes that the league has seen in the past few years. Although some might say that's a bit too much to say, the talent that we saw in this year's NBA Draft could have multiple players that have a chance of being all-stars in the coming years.

Paolo Banchero, Chet Holmgren, Keegan Murray, Jabari Smith, Jaden Ivey, and Bennedict Mathurin are the top players in terms of the NBA Rookie of the Year odds.

Let's break down the NBA Rookie of the Year odds and discuss about some of the players that the public is backing.

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NBA Rookie of the Year Odds

PlayerNBA ROY OddsPublic Betting%
Paolo Banchero+35039%
Bennedict Mathurin+120016%
Jabari Smith+70013%
Keegan Murray+6509%
Chet Holmgren+4207%

As we can see from the public betting, 39% of the Rookie of the Year award voters are currently betting on Paolo Banchero to win the NBA Rookie of the Year. Considering what he was able to do at Duke University and also with him being on an Orlando Magic team that should still struggle where he can play a big part, it makes sense why people are backing him.

Factoring in the NBA Rookie of the Year odds, there are certain things that we always have to think about, similar to the NBA MVP award. We need players to stay healthy, play well, and hope that their team can also succeed a bit, while they play a major role.

Unfortunately for most of these players, their teams are expected to struggle throughout the season.

Paolo Banchero NBA Rookie of the Year Odds - (+350) (Bet $100 to win $350)

Paolo Banchero currently has the top NBA Rookie of the Year odds coming into the season and his performances throughout the past year warrant that.

He had some impressive numbers during the preseason, including two 17-point scoring performances and also a 19-point game as well.

The Orlando Magic did decide to sit him during the NBA Summer League after a few games, which was something that was interesting from their standpoint. It's unlikely that they would ever sit him during the regular season if he is healthy, but considering that he is their future, they could decide to be safe with him throughout the year.

Orlando likely isn't going to be an above-average team this year, but they could potentially sneak into the playoffs if things do go perfectly for them. This would be a major boost for Banchero to win the award.

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Bennedict Mathurin NBA Rookie of the Year Odds - (+1200) (Bet $100 to win $1200)

Bennedict Mathurin is personally my favorite player from the 2022 NBA Draft class. The reason for saying that is because of what he was able to do on the offensive side of the basketball at the University of Arizona. There are some concerns about what he's going to be able to do in the NBA because he did have games throughout college where he went cold and couldn't hit a shot, but he has the ability to score the basketball at a very high level and even has gotten some player comparison to some of the top scorers in the NBA at the moment.

One thing that truly could hurt him this year is that he is going to be playing for the Indiana Pacers. Indiana is once again expected to be one of the worst teams in the NBA this year.

However, this could be a good thing for him in terms of getting his stats as he was able to show throughout the preseason that he's going to have a big part in the team's offense. He scored at least 15 points in every one of his four preseason games, including a 27-point performance where he shot 61.5% from the field.

Jabari Smith NBA Rookie of the Year Odds - (+700) (Bet $100 to win $700)

Jamari Smith currently has one of the top NBA Rookie of the Year odds and rightfully so. Many expected that he was going to be the number one pick in last year's NBA Draft, but the Orlando Magic decided to go a different route. When looking at what Jabari Smith was able to do at Auburn, it's easy to see why the public is backing him to win this award. 

He's going to be coming into the season only playing in one preseason game, where he scored 21 points on 8-15 from the field.

He impressed during his season at Auburn a year ago as he finished with 16.9 points per game, 7.4 rebounds, and 2 assists while shooting 42.9% from the field and 42% from 3-point range.

Smith should play a vital role in the Houston Rockets offense this season and has a real opportunity of averaging more than 15 points per game.

Keegan Murray NBA Rookie of the Year Odds - (+650) (Bet $100 to win $650)

Considering his NBA Rookie of the Year odds, it's someone interesting that the public is only backing Keegan Murray at a 9% rate. He's going to be coming into this season after playing some impressive basketball at the University of Iowa a season ago.

He might find success with the Sacramento Kings this season, but there's also some concern about him not getting the proper minutes. If Sacramento does decide to not start him, it would be one of the worst decisions that this franchise has made in the past few years, and that's saying a lot.

There's no reason why he doesn't play 25-plus minutes a night during his rookie season because not only can he be a major contribution to a team that has playoff aspirations, but he also needs to develop. At the University of Iowa, he finished with 23.5 points per game, 8.7 rebounds, and 1.9 blocks.


An Editor and Analyst for OddsChecker, Jon Conahan has been covering all major sports since 2019. He is a 2022 graduate of the Bellisario School of Journalism at Penn State University and previously played D1 baseball.


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